Latest poll: Trump and Harris are neck and neck

Author: Hadriana Lowenkron, Akayla Gardner, Bloomberg; Translation: Wuzhu, Golden Finance

A series of polls released on Sunday showed that Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump still have a chance to complete a photo opportunity in this week’s presidential election, with voters nationwide and in key swing states that will decide the election split by a slim margin.

For the Democratic nominee, there are some encouraging signs, with the final national polls from ABC News and Ipsos showing Harris leading 49%-46%, while the survey released on Sunday by The New York Times/Siena shows Harris leading in five of the seven swing states.

“A poll by the Des Moines Register shows that Harris is leading in Iowa with 47%-44% (Trump won the state in every previous election), which may be an outlier, but indicates that the vice president may be successful in efforts to increase his support among Midwest white voters.”

Harris campaigned in Charlotte, North Carolina on Saturday. Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg

However, Harris’ lead in all polls is within the margin of error, according to a NBC News poll released on Sunday, with the race deadlocked at 49%-49%.

The campaign activities of the two candidates seem to be still on the edge: Harris spoke at a church ceremony, visited two black-owned businesses, and delivered a speech at Michigan State University, while Trump held rallies in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.

When Donald Trump of North Carolina tried to acknowledge Republican Senate candidate David McCormick on stage, the whirlwind-like strides were obvious, but he forgot that the former hedge fund executive is seeking office in Pennsylvania.

Each candidate emphasized their competing economic agenda, especially a Consensus revealed by public opinion polls - the economy remains the top concern for voters. Since becoming a nominee, Harris did not mention Trump once in her entire speech at the convention - aides believe this is a deliberate shift towards a positive stance as the campaign nears its end.

Data released last week showed that the U.S. economy continued to rise, with cooling inflation and an increase in employment, but the growth rate was lower than expected due to two major hurricanes and a strike by aircraft mechanics, which suppressed employment data.

The following are the events that occurred during the campaign:

“Should Not Leave”

At a rally in Lititz, Pennsylvania, Trump made a lot of speeches without evidence to imply the corruption of the election system, opinion polling companies, and the media, and conspired against his campaign - the latest signal that the former president is preparing to compete.

The former president even said that he should not leave the White House after losing to President Joe Biden in the 2020 election.

“To be honest, I shouldn’t have left,” Trump said. “We were doing really well.”

Trump’s campaign team pointed out that his resignation was to refute questions about his role in the January election.

Trump has spent a lot of time condemning early voting, although his advisers point out that the Republican early voter turnout is high, indicating strong momentum for his campaign. He said he believes voting should only take place on Election Day and results should be confirmed immediately that evening.

Trump said, “No one dares to talk about this, and then they accuse you of being a conspiracy theorist.”

Trump himself said last month that he intended to vote early, after radio host Brian Kilmeade suggested this could set an example for his supporters. But in recent days, Trump’s aides have said he will vote on Election Day.

Trump went on to say that he believes America’s voting system is worse than that of developing countries, and he complained that his senior campaign aides had to spend time devising strategies to challenge election procedures rather than campaign spending or rally locations.

Harris campaign officials told reporters on Sunday that Republicans are mounting doomed challenges to thousands of ballots in Pennsylvania, purely to delay the counting and support any subsequent fraud allegations. The official said the ballots may be tallied in the days after the election.

Bulletproof Glass

Trump made a lengthy speech about the bulletproof glass he is now required to use during outdoor activities, which has also caught people’s attention.

Trump commented on the large amount of ballistic material on his stage, saying at one point, ‘To catch me, someone must expose fake news. I don’t mind that much.’

The former president’s campaign team hastily issued a statement saying that Trump’s remarks did not mean he would accept news media members as targets of attack.

Trump’s campaign communications director, Steven Cheung, said in a statement: “The president’s statement about the placement of protective glass has nothing to do with the media being injured or anything else.” “In fact, President Trump has stated that the media is in danger because they are protecting him, so they are also in great danger themselves and should have glass protection.”

Vaccines, Fluorides

The Republican candidate also accepted a phone interview with NBC News on Sunday and repeatedly refused to rule out the controversial health policies advocated by former presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who now supports his campaign.

When asked about the statement made by Kennedy on social media, the former president said they had not discussed the idea, “but to me, it sounds good.”

“You know, it’s possible,” Trump said.

Trump does not rule out banning certain vaccines. Despite evidence that global immunization efforts have saved tens of millions of lives, Kennedy has long been skeptical of vaccines.

Trump said: “I will make a decision, but he is a very talented person and has strong views.”

Trump arrived in Lititz, Pennsylvania on Sunday to attend a campaign event. Photographer: Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg

African American Voters

Harris witnessed Trump’s advantage among black voters firsthand, visiting the Greater Emmanuel Church service center in Detroit and telling believers that black churches are crucial for advancing the nation.

“As a country, we face real challenges. We face real challenges, we carry real burdens, we feel real pain, and we have to remember that faith is combined with our actions to give us strength,” Harris said.

Trump highlighted the impact of Inflation and some progressive social policies of Harris when seeking a broader coalition of voters. Surveys show that his support among black men is higher than any other Republican candidate in recent history.

Later in the afternoon, Harris visited a black-run business, Cuzo Chicken & Waffle Shop, a restaurant in Detroit’s Livernoy neighborhood owned by former Detroit Lions player Ron Battle. She then stopped by the Elam Barber Shop in Pontiac, told the gathered customers that she was “going to give it her all,” and called the group “Win with Black Women” in the evening.

Harris also hopes to address the dissatisfaction of some Arab-American voters in Michigan with her support for Israel. When she spoke on a college campus Sunday night, she further defended her position. Earlier that day, Harris told reporters she hadn’t seen anyone refuse to support her campaign.

She said: “As President of the United States, I will do everything in my power to achieve this goal and the two-state solution, to ensure the Palestinians’ right to self-determination and the security and stability of the region.” “But at the same time, the issues are diverse for any voter.”

A senior official from the Harris campaign team said that over the weekend, the team sent out over 90,000 volunteers to knock on over 3 million doors in battleground states.

Volunteers involved in this work include a name that may attract follow from Wall Street: Judy Dimon, a well-known political donor and wife of JPMorgan Chase & Co’s CEO Jamie Dimon, who was one of the people canvassing for Harris in Michigan over the weekend.

Concert on the Eve of the Election

Harris plans to hold two rallies in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia to end her campaign, and will heavily rely on her celebrity supporters to help boost attendance.

In Pittsburgh, Katy Perry will headline a lineup that also includes D-Nice and Andra Day. Lady Gaga made headlines at Harris’ final event in Philadelphia, which included performances by hometown bands like Roots and DJ Jazzy Jeff. Talk show hosts Oprah Winfrey and Ricky Martin are also expected to attend.

In North Carolina, the event will feature a concert with singer-songwriter James Taylor, as well as American Idol stars Fantasia Barrino and Remy Wolf. In Atlanta, 2 Chainz and Anthony Hamilton will headline an event, which includes a speech by Usher.

Celebrity promotional activities started very early, on Sunday, Harris gathered a crowd before the Philadelphia Eagles played against the Jacksonville Jaguars, and held a “Tailgate for Turnout” event starring actors Robert De Niro and former Secretary of State John Kerry.

When volunteers pass out coasters and ‘Handsome Harris’ hats, Kerry poses for photos in the green tent, saying that Harris has received support from prominent Republicans and national security officials, which inspires him.

Kerry said, “I think it’s extraordinary that over 200 leading national security Republicans have come out and said, ‘This man is dangerous and should not be president.’” “When has something like this happened before?”

Harris Voting

Harris revealed to reporters that she submitted an absentee ballot in California but refused to disclose how she voted on a key voting measure.

Proposal 36, supported by the Republican Party in the state, will impose harsher penalties on those who repeatedly commit drug or retail theft crimes. Harris avoided involvement in this measure because Trump has been using the state as a weapon during the campaign, so intervening in the state’s crime issues may not have much political benefit.

“I won’t talk about the vote on this because, to be honest, it’s Sunday before the election, and I don’t intend to build support around it in any way,” she said.