#BTC In terms of policy, given the objective conditions of dollar liquidity shortages caused by the tariff war, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in May has temporarily increased to over 50%. The key position for BTC today is 75800, with key resistance at 78500. In terms of gaps, the CME futures gap is between 81400-84100 and 85200-85500. It is worth noting that due to the continuous decline of the US stock market in recent days, the Nasdaq Composite Index is filled with gaps above, and the Nasdaq's filling of these gaps becomes a potential factor guiding BTC's daily chart large-scale rebound. With policy factors combined with the release of March CPI data tomorrow, there is significant uncertainty. Before breaking the downward trend line, it is not advisable to easily expect a reversal.