After Powell's speech, the probability of a Fed rate cut in September rose to 91.1%.

According to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 8.9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 91.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 4.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 48.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 46.8%.
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