📌 40% of Michael Saylor's BTC is out-of-the-money – should we be worried?
🔍 1. How much BTC is MicroStrategy holding?
649,870 BTC → ~3.2% of total supply
Total expenditure: $48.37B
Average cost price: $74,433/BTC
Current value: ~$59–62B
Unrealized profit: +$11–13B → +22.7%
📌 Interesting point: About 40% of the BTC purchased in the $95K–$105K range is out-of-the-money, but the overall portfolio is still profitable thanks to continuous accumulation since 2020.
📌 2. Why is Saylor not afraid of being out-of-the-money?
(1) No margin used → No liquidation
Saylor buys with: company cash, convertible bonds, MSTR stock
⟹ Even though the price of BTC has dropped significantly, there are no positions that are out-of-the-money.
(2) 97% of the money used to buy BTC comes from fundraising.
MSTR does not use its own money, but rather: issues convertible bonds, sells MSTR shares, borrows at low interest rates.
⟹ The price of BTC increases → the market capitalization of MSTR increases → more money can be raised to continue buying.
Infinite accumulation loop.
(3) The only risk: Bitcoin goes to... "stone age"
That is, BTC must go to 0 for Saylor to "toang" – the probability is lower than: Apple going bankrupt, USD losing value, the Internet shutting down globally.
So it's not surprising when he says: 👉 “We’re buying, we’re buying quite a lot.”
📌 3. Saylor's BTC Buying Mindset
Saylor doesn't care: buying the peak, buying the bottom, market timing
I only care about accumulating over time, with the belief that BTC will go from $100K → $500K → $1M.
🚀 4. So what price should BTC reach for "you guys to buy"?
There is no single number. There are 3 types of people, each type will have a different "reasonable purchase price":.
🔵 GROUP 1: Long-term investors (1–5 years)
No need to catch the bottom. Best strategy:
DCA weekly/monthly
Buy more aggressively when BTC corrects 15–25%
🎯 Optimal long-term buying zone:
$70K–$85K → buy and hold
Under $70K → increase weighting
Under $60K → just keep pushing.
🟠 GROUP 2: Short-term Trader
Should closely observe: Volume, Support, Fibo levels
🎯 Short-term potential buying zone:
$86K–$90K (retest)
$82K (strong support)
$75K (super strong support if panic occurs)
🔴 GROUP 3: Newcomers, small capital
→ You shouldn't wait for "BTC to reach 60K" or "to hit the bottom." → Just by consistently buying DCA, you are already better than 80% of investors.
🐺 Conclusion in Wolf style:
Saylor does not buy because it is cheap – Saylor buys because of long-term trust. The price drop affects purchases. The price is rising, still buying. What about you?
👉 If you believe BTC will rise to $150K–$300K–$500K, the price range of 70K–90K currently... there isn't much difference.
What if you want to catch the bottom? The bottom can only be seen when... it has already passed.
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BUYING BITCOIN WITHOUT CASH IS STILL MORE COMFORTABLE :))
🔍 1. How much BTC is MicroStrategy holding?
649,870 BTC → ~3.2% of total supply
Total expenditure: $48.37B
Average cost price: $74,433/BTC
Current value: ~$59–62B
Unrealized profit: +$11–13B → +22.7%
📌 Interesting point:
About 40% of the BTC purchased in the $95K–$105K range is out-of-the-money, but the overall portfolio is still profitable thanks to continuous accumulation since 2020.
📌 2. Why is Saylor not afraid of being out-of-the-money?
(1) No margin used → No liquidation
Saylor buys with: company cash, convertible bonds, MSTR stock
⟹ Even though the price of BTC has dropped significantly, there are no positions that are out-of-the-money.
(2) 97% of the money used to buy BTC comes from fundraising.
MSTR does not use its own money, but rather: issues convertible bonds, sells MSTR shares, borrows at low interest rates.
⟹ The price of BTC increases → the market capitalization of MSTR increases → more money can be raised to continue buying.
Infinite accumulation loop.
(3) The only risk: Bitcoin goes to... "stone age"
That is, BTC must go to 0 for Saylor to "toang" – the probability is lower than: Apple going bankrupt, USD losing value, the Internet shutting down globally.
So it's not surprising when he says:
👉 “We’re buying, we’re buying quite a lot.”
📌 3. Saylor's BTC Buying Mindset
Saylor doesn't care: buying the peak, buying the bottom, market timing
I only care about accumulating over time, with the belief that BTC will go from $100K → $500K → $1M.
🚀 4. So what price should BTC reach for "you guys to buy"?
There is no single number.
There are 3 types of people, each type will have a different "reasonable purchase price":.
🔵 GROUP 1: Long-term investors (1–5 years)
No need to catch the bottom.
Best strategy:
DCA weekly/monthly
Buy more aggressively when BTC corrects 15–25%
🎯 Optimal long-term buying zone:
$70K–$85K → buy and hold
Under $70K → increase weighting
Under $60K → just keep pushing.
🟠 GROUP 2: Short-term Trader
Should closely observe: Volume, Support, Fibo levels
🎯 Short-term potential buying zone:
$86K–$90K (retest)
$82K (strong support)
$75K (super strong support if panic occurs)
🔴 GROUP 3: Newcomers, small capital
→ You shouldn't wait for "BTC to reach 60K" or "to hit the bottom."
→ Just by consistently buying DCA, you are already better than 80% of investors.
🐺 Conclusion in Wolf style:
Saylor does not buy because it is cheap – Saylor buys because of long-term trust.
The price drop affects purchases.
The price is rising, still buying.
What about you?
👉 If you believe BTC will rise to $150K–$300K–$500K,
the price range of 70K–90K currently... there isn't much difference.
What if you want to catch the bottom?
The bottom can only be seen when... it has already passed.