#以太坊行情技术解读 Is the market trend really becoming more fragmented? Many people are complaining that fake breakouts are everywhere now, and things aren’t as smooth as before.

What I want to say is—things have never been smooth before.

Just look at history. In the era of Livermore, opening a position required calling the broker, then slowly walking to the counter to execute the trade. The process itself was full of turbulence. Looking at his manuscripts, it’s clear that trading has never been a smooth sail.

But this precisely illustrates a principle: trend trading—especially breakout trading—is not fundamentally about how smooth the market is, but about human nature. As long as there are humans behind the market (whether placing orders directly, or using robots and quantitative programs), the expected market movements will come. Tools can be upgraded, but the underlying logic of the market doesn’t change.

Of course, as any asset matures, its volatility over a given period tends to converge—this is an objective law. But a key point often overlooked is—people need rest every day. So for most assets, the daily chart is actually the most suitable cycle for trend trading. The crypto market moves faster, and the 4-hour chart also works well.

A simple way to handle volatility convergence is: rotate and add 1-2 new assets each cycle. Mainstream coins like $BTC, $XRP, $SOL, combined with different entry points, can effectively compensate for the lack of volatility in a single asset. This way, you can catch trends and also reduce the risk of being trapped.