The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates on the industry prediction platform has already soared to 98%, which looks very certain. But the question is—has the market truly digested this?
What we are seeing is real liquidity contraction. It's like being verbally threatened to freeze accounts versus actually having the accounts frozen; the nature is completely different. One is a bluff, the other is real action. The expectation of rate hikes has long been priced in by the market, but the tide of liquidity withdrawal is real—there's often a gap between these two, which becomes t

#以太坊行情技术解读 An interesting phenomenon: $ETH in this bull market actually fell below 3000, making the rebound even more disastrous than 2017 to 2018. What does this indicate? The market consensus is cracking severely, and the chip liquidity is too fragile, making it easy to be targeted. Once traders are frustrated with other cryptocurrencies, they vent their frustration on Ethereum—this has become a certain market psychological pattern. Seemingly chaotic, it actually reflects the level of anxiety among participants during this cycle.

There will be the release of major economic data tonight at 21:30, a moment that often marks a turning point in the cryptocurrency market. Whether the trend is upward or plunging rapidly, no one can say for sure; it all depends on how these data are implemented.
The dark moments in the market are usually hidden within such large fluctuations, where turbulent waves and great opportunities often coexist. Risks and opportunities are like two sides of a coin; it depends on how you catch them.
That being said, the most important thing for traders now is to keep a close eye on risk management. Wheth

#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 The principal is less than $1500? Let me burst your bubble first—that amount is actually quite awkward.
I once mentored a friend who started with $1200 and, over 4 months, grew it to $25,000. Throughout the process, he didn’t suffer any major losses, nor was it luck. To put it simply, it was all about this strategy:
**Stay silent during consolidation**
When the price is sideways at a high level, don’t chase. When it’s bottoming out, don’t rush to cut losses. If the market doesn’t give a clear direction, there’s no real opportunity. What do smart traders do at this time? Nothin

#加密生态动态追踪 $ETH $BNB
【Breaking Analysis at Dawn】Everyone, feeling a bit restless about sleep💥
The Federal Reserve's latest "dovish" signals, will they really trigger this round of market movement? CME data just released—probability of maintaining interest rates in January exceeds 75%—sounds quite positive. But then it was cooled down immediately: Fed's Williams mentioned overnight that rate cuts are actually being prepared for 2026, and a cooling labor market is the real indicator📉
This is a subtle turning point——
Trump is firing again, saying rate cuts are "not aggressive enough"; SEC chairm

#BinanceABCs ASTER's recent trend has attracted attention. The founder of a leading project publicly stated that the scale of involvement in this project is "far exceeding $2 million," with clear signs of continuous accumulation. What's more worth pondering is that even in the face of the selling pressure from airdrop unlocks, the price remains stable at key support levels, trading volume has shrunk but the bottom-fishing signals are clear—this usually indicates that large funds are quietly accumulating chips amid market panic.
From a technical perspective, combined with the founder's clear op

We've discussed before that the two main forces driving BTC higher in this market cycle are MSTR and spot ETFs. They continuously bring in new buying interest and are an important foundation for price stability.
But things have changed a bit. On December 9th, MSTR announced again that it bought 10,624 BTC. Sounds good, but looking closely at the frequency and scale, compared to the crazy scenes from Q3 2024 to early this year, it's clearly slowed down. As for ETFs? Even quieter.
What does this reflect? Quite straightforward—traditional capital's enthusiasm for BTC is cooling down. The macro en

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 Last night, Bitcoin failed to hold the 88,000 level, so I decisively continued to reduce my position according to the risk control plan. Currently, under the broader context of the US SEC's innovative regulation of the crypto market, market volatility has indeed increased. Mainstream cryptocurrencies like $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL require more cautious position management. Instead of betting on a rebound, it's better to take profits step by step and wait for clearer policies before looking for opportunities. Risk always deserves more respect than reward.

#加密生态动态追踪 Pay attention to the market trends on the 26th and 27th. The crypto market often experiences key fluctuations within specific time windows, and these two trading days may present some signals worth watching. For friends engaged in short-term trading, critical cycles often hide opportunities, so being prepared is never a bad idea.

#加密生态动态追踪 $BTC $ETH $BNB SOL Have you noticed a phenomenon in this round of market行情?💭
As funds begin to refocus on the Solana chain, some projects with strong narratives are gathering momentum. For example, tokens backed by top IP and with cultural memory points often gain more attention during meme waves. The performance of such projects in the SOL ecosystem seems to indicate the direction of the next hot spots.
To be honest, the ones that truly stand out are not the no-story "wild dogs" — but those with clear personas and strong narrative support. As mainstream capital gradually flows back

A recent roundtable on "Financial Surveillance and Privacy" held at the SEC headquarters has become a turning point for the privacy coin market.
Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox directly stated on the scene: "Privacy is a right granted by the U.S. Constitution, and everyone has the right to decide how much information they are willing to share." His words were impactful, and he didn't just stay at the theoretical level — he directly demonstrated the Zashi wallet in real-time, showcasing ZEC's selective privacy mechanism clearly.
This shift carries significant meaning. Looking back at ZEC's regulator

The Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting next week (December 18-19), and the market widely expects the policy interest rate to be raised from the current 0.5% to 0.75%, which will be the highest level in the past 30 years. At first glance, it may seem like nothing major, but the impact on the global financial markets—especially the crypto sector—could be much bigger than you think.
First, let's talk about the yen carry trade. Over the years, global investors have borrowed yen to invest around the world, reaching a scale of trillions of dollars. Once Japan raises interest rates, th

#以太坊行情技术解读 Is the market trend really becoming more fragmented? Many people are complaining that fake breakouts are everywhere now, and things aren’t as smooth as before.
What I want to say is—things have never been smooth before.
Just look at history. In the era of Livermore, opening a position required calling the broker, then slowly walking to the counter to execute the trade. The process itself was full of turbulence. Looking at his manuscripts, it’s clear that trading has never been a smooth sail.
But this precisely illustrates a principle: trend trading—especially breakout trading—is no

#以太坊行情技术解读 $ETH The market rhythm this evening was quite good, continuing to hold short positions and successfully riding three consecutive waves. Currently, the US stock market has less than an hour before closing, so take advantage of this time window to continue positioning in the market and prepare for tomorrow's swing trading opportunities. If your thinking is clear, you can follow along. Stay synchronized with $BTC .
Although the night trading session's pace isn't particularly aggressive, as long as you seize the key rebound and pullback levels, you can still consistently earn profits. T

#大户持仓变化 Last night's market trend confirmed the continuation of the bearish outlook. Starting from short entries at 89800 and 3130 during the daytime session, both $BTC and $ETH 's rebounds touched around 87330 and 3028 before pulling back as expected. To be honest, throughout the process, the entry points for short positions and the final decline were not very different; the key was that the trend direction was entirely correct.
Currently, $BTC has fallen to the 85000 level, and $ETH has broken below and reached around 2892. The magnitude of this decline is indeed significant. Friends who

#加密生态动态追踪 It's a tough pill to swallow, but listen: turning $3000 into 100 times in a week is gambling. True hunters never chase myths. Living is the top priority. Steady profits within your understanding range.
Dissecting four strategies to survive in the market dominated by whales. It's not about getting rich overnight but about helping you find the cracks to survive.
1. Liquidity vacuum from 2-5 AM
The window where Wall Street and Asia connect. Large funds are still sleeping, retail traders haven't woken up yet. Prices tend to drift off course. The cost for whales to defend the market incr

In this highly volatile crypto world, "stability" has become the most expensive luxury. After lessons from the last crash, everyone's requirements for decentralized stablecoins have become stricter year by year. Schemes that rely solely on algorithms to maintain stability are long outdated; the market now demands real backing mechanisms with genuine assets.
Speaking of which, we have to mention the USDD project. It attempts to redefine the entire track with an extremely strict collateralization system and fully transparent data. At first glance, it might seem cliché, but upon closer inspection

#大户持仓变化 The actions of this large holder are truly fierce. Just after building the position, they immediately dump the market, causing $ETH to plummet instantly. Traders of this level can shake the market with every move, indicating that recent large funds are preparing for a major move. Pay attention to order book changes; such signals usually indicate the upcoming market trend.

Ethereum recently fell below the $3000 mark, and market fluctuations have attracted attention. According to on-chain data, a leading trader who opened a short position after the 1011 flash crash currently has an unrealized loss of $40.46 million. Among them, Ethereum long positions are the most severely affected, with an unrealized loss of $33.04 million, but from a technical perspective, the account's liquidation price is still around $2073, indicating considerable buffer space. Bitcoin has an unrealized loss of $4.8 million, while Solana's unrealized loss is $2.61 million. Based on the curre

#大户持仓变化 Ethereum has staged another thrilling drama. A major whale's recent move is a textbook-level loss case—using 1000x leverage long positions, watching the 3083 USD mark approach the liquidation line, and then urgently selling off 786 ETH last night, cashing out 3 million USD and withdrawing half. After losing 100,000 USD, he surprisingly doubled down, adding up to 3900 ETH—was this foresight or a reckless gamble?
Currently, Ethereum is stuck at the $3000 threshold, with bulls and bears engaged in a tug-of-war every day. You'll notice that every upward surge in the market is fleeting like