#美联储降息 Contract Leverage of 10,000x—Is What You're Seeing Truly an Opportunity?

Think carefully, what’s behind those screenshots of massive leverage? It’s survivor bias. No one shares accounts that got liquidated, people who borrow to leverage won’t write reviews, and vanished funds won’t remind you. The "myth of 10,000x" you see is actually just 0.001% noise; the remaining 99.999% have long quietly exited.

A simple calculation makes it clear. Turning 100U into 1 million requires 22 consecutive doubles. Assuming you make a profit each time, with a win rate of 60%, the success probability is only 0.00007%. That’s not low; it’s a probability you should never encounter in your life.

So what is the essence of doubling? It’s not execution ability, nor spiritual enlightenment. In reality, it’s: 22 consecutive mistakes-free trades, each avoiding liquidation, each just on the right side of the market to lose money. Mathematically, that’s a miracle.

But even more brutal is that the so-called "strict discipline" is useless in extreme market conditions. A single spike, a flash crash, system lag—your compound growth is wiped out instantly. What truly happens is never balanced doubling, but a gradual mental breakdown: from 5x to 10x, stop-losses get farther; from 10x to 20x, positions get larger; from 20x to 50x, emotions become heavier. In the end, you’re not trading—you’re being led by dopamine until the market devours you.

The essence of contracts is simple: they don’t reward the smart, only those who haven’t died yet. And you’re neither faster than the market, smarter than market makers, nor colder than AI.

If you insist on playing, remember these life-saving rules: treat your contract funds as money already burned; play at most 1 hour a day, or you will definitely lose; immediately transfer half of your profits to a cold wallet; any thought of "one more try" is a death knell.

The truth is, the way for the poor to turn things around has never been leverage. It’s about surviving long enough, recognizing what you’re not suited for, and gradually accumulating between bull and bear markets. BTC dollar-cost averaging, on-chain research, airdrops, community—these are slow, but they don’t swallow people.

When you stare at the contract interface, the contract is also watching you. It’s not waiting for your money, but for you to say: "One more trade and I’ll stop."