#大户持仓变化 Market Game Under the Night of Non-Farm Payrolls. Good morning everyone, yesterday’s decisive break below the daily double top around 88,000 with no clear signs of a retest. Currently, market liquidity is already tight, and the Bank of Japan unexpectedly announced an early ETF repurchase plan, directly draining liquidity from global markets. The stock market saw a slight correction, and the crypto market reacted even more strongly. Tonight at 11:30 p.m., the non-farm payrolls data will be released—this is a key event that could directly influence short-term liquidity. Another sleepless night.

As of this morning’s close, the decline approached 5,000 points, followed by a rebound that only recovered about 1,500, showing a rather weak bounce. Technically, the next crucial support is around 84,000, with further supports at 80,600 and 76,000. Rome’s walls weren’t built in a day, and a bear market can’t absorb this ten-thousand-point drop all at once—this range coincides with the cost basis for most institutions and companies, and listed companies like MicroStrategy can’t escape it either. Institutions often win; retail investors don’t always lose—markets are just so magical.

Intraday strategy: adopt a mindset of shorting first, then going long. Focus on short positions around 86,000, add to shorts near 86,500, with targets of 84,100. If broken, look for strong support at 81,000.

ETH: open short positions around 2,950, add more at 2,980, with a target of 2,880. If broken further, look at 2,750.

If BTC/ETH doesn’t break effectively around 84,100 and 2,880, consider reversing to long— but only if you are confident. Before 9:30 p.m., those without full confidence are advised to close positions and wait for the announcement before making decisions.