#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 $BTC currently shows an unfavorable daily moving average arrangement. The downward trend line extended from the October high still exerts heavy resistance, and the rebound appears weak and lackluster.

From a capital perspective, the long-short ratio is only 0.85, with main funds continuously net outflowing. Recently, long contracts have been repeatedly liquidated, and market sentiment is clearly declining.

On the macro level, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate cuts remains very cautious, with liquidity expectations tightening. This has been consistently negative for risk assets.

Regarding technical indicators, although RSI shows some signs of weak divergence, there has been no confirmed reversal yet. The bearish momentum in MACD also shows no obvious signs of weakening, and currently, there is a lack of clear reversal signals.

In terms of trading strategy, consider short positions in the 88000-88500 range, targeting around 86000-85000. Market fluctuations are frequent, so instead of blindly struggling, it's better to clarify your thinking before taking action.