2025-12-17 19:21:07

Global coal consumption hit a record 8,845 million tons in 2025, marking a 0.5% year-on-year increase. The IEA recently revised upward its 2024 figures and now forecasts 2025 as the peak year, with demand expected to contract over the following five years.

That said, skepticism lingers. Previous peak projections from major institutions have frequently missed the mark, and energy demand cycles rarely follow predictions neatly. The gap between forecast and reality in commodity markets remains a persistent pattern worth monitoring closely.

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RetiredMiner

· 2025-12-17 19:51

Is the coal peak back again? How many times have we heard this rhetoric? Every time they say it will decline, but instead it hits new highs. IEA's forecast... uh, feels less reliable than weather forecasts. With just a 0.5% increase, shrinking within five years? Dream on, when has reality ever followed the script?

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BloodInStreets

· 2025-12-17 19:48

IEA is playing the prediction game again, announcing peak coal this time? Laugh out loud, they say this every time, and what’s the result? Still hitting new highs. The prophets of commodity markets should just go buy lottery tickets. --- Peak year? Wake up, I've heard that term for ten years. The gap between prediction and reality is a blood hole of real money. --- 0.5% growth and still need to set a peak? Do they have so much confidence? Take IEA’s predictions as stories; reverse operation is the right way. --- Here they come again, every year claiming it’s the top, then continuing to miss out. Can they stop shouting wolf this time? --- Record-breaking growth in coal consumption, then turning around to say they want to shrink. Is this logic reversed? The institutions are indeed good at drawing big pictures.

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HorizonHunter

· 2025-12-17 19:47

Peak year? Uh... here we go again. Is the IEA really reliable this time? Didn't their previous predictions get proven wrong? Coal demand isn't that easy to just decline; whenever the economy picks up, it has to surge again. It's rare for predictions to match reality; commodity markets are always this magical. Let's just wait and see. Anyway, we'll settle the account in five years. A 0.5% growth rate doesn't seem like much, but sustaining this level is quite scary. Every time the IEA talks about peak, but as for the result... I think this time is also uncertain.

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LayerHopper

· 2025-12-17 19:43

Haha, IEA is launching satellites again, believe it or not this time. --- The peak of coal has been talked about for many years... In my opinion, it's still early. --- The gap between predictions and reality, isn't this just the daily routine of the energy industry? --- Another peak year? We said the same last year, haha. --- 0.5% growth and still setting records, this data is a bit ironic. --- IEA's forecasts... I've already learned not to expect too much. --- Contracting within five years? Let's wait and see, I've heard this kind of statement several times.

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WhaleMistaker

· 2025-12-17 19:43

Coal hits a new high again, and the IEA says it's peaked. I've seen this script many times before. Is the IEA's prediction accurate? Anyway, I can't tell. I'm tired of hearing the term "peak year." Let's wait for the actual data. Every time they say this year is the last year, but what happens? Prices continue to rise next year.

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LiquidationOracle

· 2025-12-17 19:33

Coal peak year? IEA is probably going to be proven wrong again this time. Anyway, these organizations' predictions are always outrageous.

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