Briefly

Here are the key upcoming events in the crypto industry that could have the greatest impact:

January 13, 2026 – publication of data on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the USA
January 15, 2026 – MSCI's decision on the classification of DAT
January 28, 2026 – meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve System
February 2, 2026 – the entry into force of cryptocurrency regulation in Brazil
March 8, 2028 – the threat of quantum computers to Bitcoin encryption

Details

1. Publication of CPI data in the USA (13 January 2026)

What it is: The Consumer Price Index report (CPI) will show the dynamics of inflation, which affects the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, a rate cut may be delayed, putting pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Why it matters: The cryptocurrency market may become more volatile, testing Bitcoin's status as a hedge against inflation. Watch for discrepancies between actual CPI data and market expectations.

2. MSCI's decision on the classification of DAT (15 January 2026)

What it is: MSCI may reclassify companies like Digital Asset Treasury (DAT), such as MicroStrategy, as funds, which could lead to an outflow of passive investments totaling between $2.8 billion and $8.8 billion if these companies are removed from the indices.
Why this is important: A decrease in institutional demand for Bitcoin, if DAT loses the right to be in indices, will weaken one of the key large buyers.

3. Meeting of the Federal Reserve System (28 January 2026)

What it is: The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged ( with an 80% probability ), but CPI data may affect sentiment. Hawkish rhetoric could reduce liquidity in the crypto market, while hints at rate cuts may trigger a rise.
Why this matters: The short-term direction of cryptocurrency depends on the Fed's statements about inflation and the state of the economy.

4. Crypto regulation in Brazil (2 February 2026)

What is this: The Central Bank of Brazil will introduce strict licensing requirements for crypto firms, requiring them to have capital ranging from 2 to 37 million dollars. Companies that do not meet the requirements will be banned.
Why it matters: In the short term, this will create difficulties for small exchanges, but in the long term, it will increase trust and legitimacy in the crypto ecosystem in Brazil.

5. Quantum threat to Bitcoin (8 March 2028)

What it is: Analysts warn that quantum computers could break Bitcoin encryption by 2028, which would jeopardize wallets with public keys.
Why this is important: It is a long-term risk for old Bitcoin addresses and an incentive to transition to quantum-resistant protocols.

Withdrawal

Optimism or caution? Neutral with elements of caution: the FOMC meeting on January 28 and the CPI data on January 13 are key short-term factors. Pay special attention to the CPI release on January 13 — unexpected data may increase volatility ahead of the FOMC decision. In the long term, regulatory clarity in Brazil and preparation for quantum threats are crucial for shaping the resilience of the crypto market.