The trading activity has been relatively low over the past two days, with only two short positions in LIT and STRK. Today, I want to organize my thought process and lessons learned from these two trades.
First, let's talk about STRK. My judgment at the time was that BTC might surge to around 90,000. Based on past experience, this should be a key level, so I chose to establish short positions on some less popular coins. STRK was already in a clear downtrend at that point, and shorting with the trend went smoothly, ultimately leading to a successful take-profit and exit.
Next, LIT. This one is a bit regrettable. I opened a short position at an average price of 3.38 and eventually exited with a loss. But the turning point was last night—LIT dropped to 2.24. If I had held on a little longer, I could have caught this wave of decline.
My reasoning for shorting LIT was actually quite solid. From a fundamental perspective, LIT faces fierce competition in the Perp sector. Currently, Hype is the leader in the sector, with Aster close behind. A large part of LIT's trading volume comes from wash trading and fake orders, so the actual transaction situation is questionable. Additionally, I anticipated that the airdrop distribution would soon begin, and generally, project teams tend to dump tokens before an airdrop to clear their positions—this is a common market consensus.
From a technical standpoint, LIT accumulated a lot of liquidity below, and the downtrend was gradually opening up. Considering the timing of the airdrop, it was theoretically easy for the price to be pushed down to absorb that liquidity.
I set my stop-loss at 3.51, where liquidity above was relatively sparse. After waking up, I found the price had surged to around 3.7, triggering my stop-loss. When the price fell back, I was worried about a second surge, so I ultimately decided to exit.
This trade taught me two lessons. First, never place orders before sleeping. Expecting a surprise after sleep by exposing yourself to unknown risks is not worth it. Second, for long-term strategies, patience is essential. Building positions gradually is the right approach; you can't use long-term thinking for short-term swings. These two trading styles must be kept completely separate.
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ponzi_poet
· 9h ago
Placing sleep orders is really a genius move. Waking up to find your stop-loss hit and wiped out, I totally understand that kind of mental breakdown. The logic behind that wave of LIT wasn't actually a problem, just the execution was a bit off... Next time, remember that splitting into batches is the way to go.
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ForkItAllDay
· 9h ago
LIT's wave is really a bit unfortunate; the logic was clear, but it was stopped out by a wick during the night. Sleep trading is indeed a big taboo. But on the other hand, who can fully absorb the decline from 3.38 to 2.24? Don't get too hung up on it. The key is that your review is sincere enough, and you must remember to separate long-term and short-term strategies.
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AirdropHunter007
· 9h ago
Placing sleep orders is really a big taboo in trading. This wave of LIT is indeed a bit unfortunate; the logic was clear, but the overnight market still hammered the result.
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RugResistant
· 9h ago
LIT this time is still a mindset issue. The logic is correct, but there's no patience. It's a typical long-term thinking with short-term operations, and it should have been divided into batches earlier. I've also suffered losses from sleeping and placing orders; waking up to an instant liquidation is truly an experience.
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ImpermanentPhilosopher
· 9h ago
LIT this time is indeed unfortunate. No matter how solid the logic is, it can't withstand a reversal after a sleep. This is the difference between spot trading and futures contracts.
I've suffered losses from airdrop dumps a few times and only then realized. Next time I encounter similar situations, I still need to take it step by step.
STRK, on the other hand, is relatively stable. Coins with low popularity tend to have a positive correlation with risk. Going with the trend and shorting is how it should be played.
Placing orders while sleeping is truly a suicidal move, especially since this market can spike at midnight.
Long-term is long-term, short-term is short-term. Mixing both results in losses. This conclusion is a painful lesson.
Entering at 3.38 and only seeing the bottom at 2.24 shows a significant difference, indicating that the stop-loss point indeed has issues.
I understand the mentality of a second surge, but since the logic is sound, you should trust your analysis, shouldn't you?
The trading activity has been relatively low over the past two days, with only two short positions in LIT and STRK. Today, I want to organize my thought process and lessons learned from these two trades.
First, let's talk about STRK. My judgment at the time was that BTC might surge to around 90,000. Based on past experience, this should be a key level, so I chose to establish short positions on some less popular coins. STRK was already in a clear downtrend at that point, and shorting with the trend went smoothly, ultimately leading to a successful take-profit and exit.
Next, LIT. This one is a bit regrettable. I opened a short position at an average price of 3.38 and eventually exited with a loss. But the turning point was last night—LIT dropped to 2.24. If I had held on a little longer, I could have caught this wave of decline.
My reasoning for shorting LIT was actually quite solid. From a fundamental perspective, LIT faces fierce competition in the Perp sector. Currently, Hype is the leader in the sector, with Aster close behind. A large part of LIT's trading volume comes from wash trading and fake orders, so the actual transaction situation is questionable. Additionally, I anticipated that the airdrop distribution would soon begin, and generally, project teams tend to dump tokens before an airdrop to clear their positions—this is a common market consensus.
From a technical standpoint, LIT accumulated a lot of liquidity below, and the downtrend was gradually opening up. Considering the timing of the airdrop, it was theoretically easy for the price to be pushed down to absorb that liquidity.
I set my stop-loss at 3.51, where liquidity above was relatively sparse. After waking up, I found the price had surged to around 3.7, triggering my stop-loss. When the price fell back, I was worried about a second surge, so I ultimately decided to exit.
This trade taught me two lessons. First, never place orders before sleeping. Expecting a surprise after sleep by exposing yourself to unknown risks is not worth it. Second, for long-term strategies, patience is essential. Building positions gradually is the right approach; you can't use long-term thinking for short-term swings. These two trading styles must be kept completely separate.