The recent sideways consolidation in the crypto market has left many traders feeling exhausted. Every day opens with repeated oscillations, and occasional fluctuations often turn out to be false alarms. But is this situation truly hopeless? The answer is no. From a historical perspective, the market correction cycle can actually be quantified.
This round of consolidation has lasted over a month since the bottom. According to historical statistics, intermediate corrections in a bull market typically last around 1.5 to 3 months. Based on this cycle, the market should consolidate for at least another half month, and at most another one or two months, after which the current deadlock will be broken and a clear trend will emerge. In other words, give the market two more months, and signals for a new wave of行情 will appear.
Why make this judgment? First, look at the capital aspect. Although short-term market sentiment is somewhat cautious, long-term institutional funds have never stopped their布局. On-chain and off-chain data show that mainstream leading coins have recently been continuously absorbing institutional funds. This indicates that professional investors are relatively optimistic about the subsequent行情.
Technical signals are also worth paying attention to. The current market moving average system has already shown an initial bullish arrangement. Once a volume-backed bullish candlestick appears, it could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. At that point, the market direction will become clearer.
Volatility during the bottoming process is normal; the key is to understand the logic behind this process. When both capital and technical indicators point towards a breakout, it will be time to act.
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PonziWhisperer
· 9h ago
I've heard the phrase "bottoming out" too many times. Every time, they say we need to wait another two months, and after two months, it's another two months...
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SmartContractPlumber
· 9h ago
I've seen too many cases of bottoming out, but the key still depends on the flow of funds and the behavior of the contract address. Data on the blockchain can show when institutions are truly investing with real money, and it's impossible to fake. However, a reminder: don't just focus on the candlestick charts; you need to verify whether the project's smart contract has any permission vulnerabilities, upgrade risks, or other hidden dangers, so you don't get caught off guard when the market turns around.
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DegenDreamer
· 9h ago
Grinding at the bottom is boring to death, but my brother is right, this is indeed when institutions are quietly accumulating their positions.
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faded_wojak.eth
· 9h ago
Just grind the bottom, anyway institutions are eating up the chips.
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consensus_failure
· 10h ago
Another round of the "bottom-finding theory." I'm already tired of hearing this haha
Waiting two months? I'd rather drop two more months to get there faster
The recent sideways consolidation in the crypto market has left many traders feeling exhausted. Every day opens with repeated oscillations, and occasional fluctuations often turn out to be false alarms. But is this situation truly hopeless? The answer is no. From a historical perspective, the market correction cycle can actually be quantified.
This round of consolidation has lasted over a month since the bottom. According to historical statistics, intermediate corrections in a bull market typically last around 1.5 to 3 months. Based on this cycle, the market should consolidate for at least another half month, and at most another one or two months, after which the current deadlock will be broken and a clear trend will emerge. In other words, give the market two more months, and signals for a new wave of行情 will appear.
Why make this judgment? First, look at the capital aspect. Although short-term market sentiment is somewhat cautious, long-term institutional funds have never stopped their布局. On-chain and off-chain data show that mainstream leading coins have recently been continuously absorbing institutional funds. This indicates that professional investors are relatively optimistic about the subsequent行情.
Technical signals are also worth paying attention to. The current market moving average system has already shown an initial bullish arrangement. Once a volume-backed bullish candlestick appears, it could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. At that point, the market direction will become clearer.
Volatility during the bottoming process is normal; the key is to understand the logic behind this process. When both capital and technical indicators point towards a breakout, it will be time to act.