Interestingly, the current US government has actually been using this set of logic in a somewhat implicit way. The process is roughly as follows: first, they propose a policy intention or possible measure (such as the Federal Reserve Chair candidate or trade policy direction), then observe the immediate reaction of the financial markets, and finally make the final decision based on market signals. This is like a disguised market poll. The emergence of conditional markets essentially makes this implicit process explicit and standardized. It makes the interaction between policymakers and market participants more transparent and direct, and also provides a brand new tool for predicting and hedging policy risks. From another perspective, this could reshape the traditional rules of policy-making.
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Blockblind
· 22h ago
Damn, isn't this just the official manipulating the market? Playing "testing" here, but in the end, they still call the shots.
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GhostInTheChain
· 22h ago
Wow, so the Fed guys have been playing this game all along? We only realized it later... Isn't this just the market's reverse prediction of policy? Truly clever.
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MEV_Whisperer
· 22h ago
Basically, the government is using the market as a display screen. They've been doing this for a long time; now they're just making the behind-the-scenes activities public.
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PanicSeller
· 22h ago
Basically, the government is conducting market polls, throwing out bait to see how the fish bite.
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AirdropHunterKing
· 22h ago
I'm someone who has to check my wallet address three times repeatedly. Seeing this logic, I thought of one thing — aren't those people at the Federal Reserve just using the market as goldfish in a fishbowl, poking it to see which way it swims?
Interestingly, the current US government has actually been using this set of logic in a somewhat implicit way. The process is roughly as follows: first, they propose a policy intention or possible measure (such as the Federal Reserve Chair candidate or trade policy direction), then observe the immediate reaction of the financial markets, and finally make the final decision based on market signals. This is like a disguised market poll. The emergence of conditional markets essentially makes this implicit process explicit and standardized. It makes the interaction between policymakers and market participants more transparent and direct, and also provides a brand new tool for predicting and hedging policy risks. From another perspective, this could reshape the traditional rules of policy-making.