FARTCOIN's current situation is a bit stuck. As of early January 3rd, the price is stuck at $0.29, down 1.66% in 24 hours, but it has increased 16.97% this week. Conversely, over the past 30 days, it is negative, down more than 25%. This is a typical case of a weak rebound and still on a mid-term downtrend.

Trading volume has not kept up. The trading volume is barely 1.2 times the 20-day average, but a breakout usually requires about 1.8 times to be reliable, so the current volume is actually insufficient. Regarding moving averages, the 5/10/20 are all in a bearish alignment, and the price is even below the 5-day moving average. The RSI is only 56.73, which is neutral, and the MACD is below the zero line, showing no clear bullish signals.

Looking at the chip structure, the main support is between $0.29 and $0.30, which is the zone of high-frequency trading before. The ultimate defense line lower is $0.1988—do not let it break. Upward resistance first is at $0.3955, which is a key neckline; only if it breaks through can it continue upward to $0.5801. The current problem is that there are too many trapped sellers above, especially in the $0.4 to $0.5 range, with considerable selling pressure. Although the bottom chip lock-in rate has reached 70%, it has not yet reached the safe threshold of 80%.

Meme coins like this are most influenced by on-chain sentiment. Whales hold 32% (still below the healthy level of 35%), and in the past three days, there have been sporadic outflows, with no signs of continuous large buy-ins. The Taker CVD of capital flow has been calm over these three days, with clearly insufficient bullish momentum. The social index has increased by 30% over three days, and community activity has rebounded somewhat, but it has not yet reached the true explosion threshold of 50%.

**When is the right time to get in?** All three conditions must be met simultaneously: the price must stabilize above $0.30 with volume reaching more than twice; the 5 and 10-day moving averages must form a golden cross; whale holding ratio ≥35% and CVD has been net inflow for three consecutive days. Missing any one of these means no entry.

Conversely, if the price breaks below $0.29 with increased volume, beware of a rapid drop to $0.1988—at that point, there’s nothing much to say.

If the price oscillates between $0.29 and $0.3955 with consistently low volume, that’s the most awkward neutral state, with no practical trading value.

**How to operate specifically?** Wait until all three conditions above are met. Enter the first position with 25%, set a stop-loss at $0.28 (controlling single trade loss within 2%). If the price breaks through $0.3955, add to the position up to 40%, with total holdings not exceeding 50%. As long as the 5-day moving average remains intact, hold on. Take profit in two steps: first reduce 30% of the position at $0.3955, then close completely at $0.5801. If the price falls below $0.29 or the bearish alignment of moving averages intensifies, don’t hesitate—liquidate immediately.

Risk management must be clear. The trading volume itself is not deep enough, making large orders prone to slippage. Meme coins lack fundamental support; once sentiment recedes, rapid retracement occurs. Additionally, there is no regulatory endorsement, and policy shifts could trigger liquidity crises.