January 6th ETH Core Conclusion: Bullish trend is clear, short-term overbought pressure with potential correction. Focus on low-level dips for long positions, consider light positions on volume breakout, strictly control position size and stop-loss, avoid blindly shorting.

I. Market and Indicators (January 6th, 14:00)

- Price: Peak around 3266, currently near 3230, daily candles are consecutive bullish, 5/10-day moving averages are golden cross upward
- Key Indicators: Daily RSI around 67, slightly strong; 4-hour/hour RSI near 80 overbought, MACD bullish but decreasing red histogram, short-term correction risk rising
- Sentiment and Funds: Extreme greed in fear/greed index, spot ETF funds continue to flow in net, institutional buying support strong

II. Key Price Levels (Units: USD)

- Support: 3200 (immediate), 3180-3200 (trendline/breakback), 3130-3150 (yesterday’s low/strong support), 3100 (psychological round number)
- Resistance: 3250-3260 (intraday high/selling pressure), 3280-3300 (area of heavy trapped positions), 3350 (former high turned support)

III. Trading Strategy (Gradual positioning, risk control prioritized)

1. No Position:
- Dip Buying: Stabilize at 3180-3200 with light long positions, stop-loss below 3130, target 3250-3280
- Breakout Long: Volume breakout above 3280 (and stabilize) with small position chasing longs, stop-loss at 3250, target 3350
- Do not chase highs, wait for dips or confirmed breakouts before acting

2. Position Management:
- Longs: Move stop-loss up to 3200, take partial profits at 3250-3280, lock in gains
- Shorts: Only attempt very light short positions when 3280 is strongly resisted and volume drops, stop-loss at 3300, target 3200, quick in and out, avoid holding positions too long

3. Risk Control Rules:
- Total position ≤30%, single trade ≤10%; strictly enforce stop-loss, avoid holding losing positions
- Watch for volume breakout above 3280 and strong support at 3130, adjust strategy if breakdown occurs

IV. Risk Warning

- Short-term overbought may trigger technical correction in the 3200-3180 zone, do not panic; stabilization on dips is a good entry point
- Be alert to BTC volatility transmission and sudden macro/regulatory news; reduce positions and observe when volatility intensifies