政和徐婷

January 7th, 13:00 (UTC+8) ETH quote around 3,265, short-term high-level oscillation, medium-term bias is bullish, key focus on the breakthrough direction of 3,300-3,307 resistance and 3,180-3,200 support.
Core key levels
- Resistance: 3,300-3,307 (yesterday's high of 3,307, tested twice without stabilization); 3,350 (daily high-density area); 3,400 (psychological threshold)
- Support: 3,250 (oscillation midline); 3,180-3,200 (early morning low/breakthrough platform); 3,100 (4-hour SMA20/midline); 3,050-3,080 (daily strong support)
Multi-timeframe indicators (as of 13:00)
- 1 hour: RSI≈49.8 (n

January 6th ETH Core Conclusion: Bullish trend is clear, short-term overbought pressure with potential correction. Focus on low-level dips for long positions, consider light positions on volume breakout, strictly control position size and stop-loss, avoid blindly shorting.
I. Market and Indicators (January 6th, 14:00)
- Price: Peak around 3266, currently near 3230, daily candles are consecutive bullish, 5/10-day moving averages are golden cross upward
- Key Indicators: Daily RSI around 67, slightly strong; 4-hour/hour RSI near 80 overbought, MACD bullish but decreasing red histogram, short-ter

On January 5, 2026, at 14:55 (UTC+8), ETH is quoted at approximately 3185. The overall bullish trend remains solid, with short-term high-level oscillations leaning strong. The strategy primarily focuses on buying on dips, with caution against chasing highs, strictly controlling position sizes and stop-losses.
Core Views and Key Levels
- Trend Judgment: Daily candles show continuous bullishness; 4-hour structure remains intact; 1-hour RSI is overbought, and 4-hour MACD momentum is weakening, indicating a technical pullback may be needed.
- Key Support Levels: 3150-3160 (support after intraday b

January 4, 2026 13:00 (UTC+8), ETH current price is 3132 USD, showing a slightly strong intra-day trend but with overbought 4-hour RSI, indicating a short-term pullback correction is needed.
1. Key Levels (USD)
- Immediate support: 3100-3110 (key intra-day retracement level)
- Strong support: 3070-3080 (yesterday's low + 20 EMA)
- Extreme support: 3020-3000 (uptrend line + psychological level)
- Immediate resistance: 3150-3160 (today's high + psychological level)
- Strong resistance: 3180-3200 (previous dense trading zone)
- Ultimate resistance: 3220-3250 (Murray 5/8 resonance level)
2. Techni

As of January 3, 2026, 12:30, ETH is currently trading at $3120, showing a predominantly strong intra-day fluctuation, mainly engaging in high selling and low buying within the 3080-3150 range. A key breakout will be followed by a trend continuation and additional positions.
Core Key Levels (USD)
- Support: 3100 (EMA120), 3080 (watershed between bulls and bears), 3050 (strong support)
- Resistance: 3150 (previous high), 3180 (psychological barrier)
Technical Highlights
- Daily Chart: Consecutive bullish candles with long upper shadows, clear resistance at 3150, MACD shows a golden cross but mo

January 2nd ETH Technical Analysis (As of 11:30, current price approximately 2990)
- Core judgment: Volatile with a slight bearish bias, double top + death cross resonance, weak rebound
- Intraday range: 2960-3010; key resistance at 3010/3030; key support at 2960/2930
Key Patterns and Indicators
- 4-hour: Double top (3008/3005), MACD death cross, broke below EMA120, bearish dominance
- Daily: Two consecutive long upper shadows, heavy selling pressure at the 3000 level, MACD death cross, 7/30-day moving averages (2992/2988) will form a death cross
- Volume: No volume on rebound, low trading act

January 1st ETH Technical Analysis (As of 12:16, Price approximately $2,960)
Core Judgment: Daily oscillation slightly bearish + 4-hour neutral + hourly weak bullish; during the holiday with low liquidity, focus on the $2,940–$2,990 range, with key levels at $2,980 and $2,940.
Key Price Levels (USD)
- Resistance: $2,980–$3,000 (4-hour upper band + integer level) → $3,075–$3,110 (medium-term resistance zone) → $3,150 (previous high)
- Support: $2,940 (intraday weak support) → $2,915–$2,920 (4-hour lower band) → $2,830 (medium-term support) → $2,750–$2,700 (strong support consensus zone)
Indicat

As of 2025-12-31 14:00, BTC short-term volatility is weak with an unclear direction; the core range is $86,500–$88,800. Before the year-end closing, trading will mainly be within the range and cautious, with strict position control.
Core Market Overview (as of 14:00)
- Price: approximately $87,400, up about 0.5% in 24H, with reduced volume and oscillation, liquidity is low at year-end
- Main Trend: Daily chart is suppressed by EMA30, with a bearish moving average alignment, MACD shows a death cross, indicating a bearish dominance
- Rhythm: 4-hour MACD bearish bars are shortening without a gold

December 30th BTC short-term oscillation is slightly bearish, mainly focusing on rebound highs and high support lows; key boundaries: 88500 (break then turn bullish), 86500 (break then turn bearish).
1. Core Price Levels (12/30 13:50, current price ≈ 87200)
• Resistance: 87800 (4h EMA30), 88500 (upper boundary of range / 100EMA), 89500 (previous high), 90000 (integer threshold)
• Support: 87000 (lower boundary of range), 86500 (strong support), 85800 (100-week EMA), 84000 (previous platform)
2. Technical Indicators (4h+1h)
• 4h: Price below EMA30/100, RSI≈43 (weak), MACD below zero line with d

As of 2025-12-29 12:00 (UTC+8), BTC is currently around $87,600, with intra-day narrow fluctuations and low trading volume. It shows a daily bearish alignment and a four-hour range-bound pattern, with low liquidity at year-end increasing the risk of "spikes."
Key Indicator Overview
• Daily Chart: Price below the 20/50/100-day moving averages, with moving averages in a bearish arrangement; MACD shows a death cross, indicating weak momentum; RSI around 42 (neutral to bearish); Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating low volatility.
• 4-Hour Chart: Short-term consolidation, MACD shows a bullish

December 28 ETH Core Conclusion: Narrow fluctuations between $2930-$2990, short-term bias is bearish with no strong trend, mainly trading within high risk-reward zone bands, strictly controlling total position size ≤30%, beware of weekend low liquidity spikes and false breakouts.
1. Key Price Levels (4H/Daily chart, as of December 28 12:00)
• Support: 2930 (4H strong support, tested multiple times), 2900 (psychological threshold), 2880 (stop-loss level), 2850 (strong support)
• Resistance: 2980-2990 (20-day moving average / rebound high), 3000 (round number), 3030 (recent strong resistance)
2.

As of December 27, 2025, 10:00 (UTC+8), ETH is quoted at approximately $2,975, trading within a weak oscillation range of $2,920-$3,020, with a short-term bias to the downside and a lack of volume support from bulls.
Core Viewpoints
• Trend: The 4H downtrend channel remains unbroken, with price under pressure below the 20/50 moving averages; 4H ADX<25 indicates no strong trend, with -DI slightly stronger than +DI.
• Pattern: A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern is forming on the 4H chart, with the neckline around $2,970. Losing this level could accelerate the decline.
• Sentiment: Fear and Gre

December 26 BTC Technical Analysis (10:25, China Time)
• Price Snapshot: approximately $87,800, narrow fluctuations, low trading volume. Due to the expiration of about $28.5 billion BTC/ETH options on Deribit, volatility risk increases.
• Key Levels: Resistance at 88,000-89,000; Support at 87,000-86,000; Breakouts target 80,500 (November low) or 90,000.
• Chart Patterns and Indicators: Daily chart shows an ascending wedge (bearish), EMA20/50 resistance, RSI≈44 neutral, MACD weak, OBV declining, bullish momentum insufficient.
Actionable Strategies
• Short-term short positions (buy on rebound):

December 25, 2025 BTC Technical Analysis (09:20, UTC+8)
• Current Price: Around 87,500, narrow intra-day fluctuations, low liquidity during Christmas holiday, cautious bulls and bears
• Core Judgment: Daily chart shows slight bearish oscillation, 4H/2H range-bound trading; before a volume breakout, focus on range high and low trading, strictly control positions and stop-losses
🎯 Key Price Levels (USD)
• Support: 86,500 (strong intra-day support) → 85,000 (bull-bear lifeline) → 83,500 (accelerated breakdown)
• Resistance: 88,500 (strong intra-day resistance) → 89,600 → 90,500 (strong resistanc

December 24 BTC Technical Analysis and Strategy (as of 13:00, current price about 87200 USD)
• Core Judgment: Short-term bearish fluctuations, primarily focusing on high shorts and supplemented by low longs; low liquidity during the Christmas holiday, strictly control positions and stop losses.
Key Price Level (Multi-Period)
• Support: 87000 (intraday) → 85200 (4H) → 84000-84500 (daily strong support) → 80600 (extreme defense)
• Resistance: 87800 (4H midline) → 88500 (Fibonacci) → 90000 (psychological/trend line) → 94588 (daily confirmation level)
Indicator Overview
• Daily: RSI 44.57 (Neutral

As of 2025-12-23 10:00 (UTC+8), BTC is currently at 87920 USD, with a 24h fluctuation of 87350-88580 USD, showing weak volatility, awaiting direction choice.
Key Price Levels (Support/Resistance)
• Support: 87400 USD (24h low + short-term fluctuation lower edge) → If it breaks, look at 86000 USD (daily key support)
• Resistance: 88600 USD (24h high + 4h ago high) → A breakthrough looks toward 89500 USD (daily MA10)
• Boundary: 88000 USD, stabilize with a bullish bias, lose support with a bearish bias
Multi-Period Indicator Interpretation
• Daily: RSI≈39 (weak), MACD death cross continues, gree

As of 2025-12-22 16:00 (UTC+8), BTC is currently at 88,750 USD, with a 24h fluctuation of 87,900-89,630 USD, showing a bearish trend, and a short-term rebound needs to break out with higher trade volumes for confirmation.
1. Key Price Levels (Support/Resistance)
• First support: 88,000 USD (24h low + previous hourly low), if broken, look for second support at 86,500 USD (daily MA30)
• First resistance: 89,500 USD (24h high + previous hourly high), if broken, look towards the second resistance at 90,000 USD (psychological level + daily MA10)
• Key boundary: 88,500 USD, stabilizing towards bulli