· Current Price and Status: approximately $3,217, short-term structure is bullish but below a key resistance zone.

· Key Resistance Zone: $3,220 - $3,250. This is the first critical area that the bulls need to break through.
· Bullish Breakout Signal: a confirmed breakout and stabilization above $3,250 could open further upside potential.
· Potential Long Opportunities (after a pullback): if the price retraces to support levels at $3,190** or **$3,110 - $3,070 and stabilizes, it may present a more robust long entry.
· Risks to Watch Out For: the market has a large amount of leveraged longs
• Key Resistance (Upward Barrier)
· $3,220 - $3,250: short-term key resistance, whether broken or not determines the near-term direction.
· $3,350 - $3,500: stronger resistance area, gathering historical selling pressure.

• Key Support (Downside Support)

· $3,190: the most recent first support.
· $3,110 - $3,070: a stronger support zone, including moving averages and demand areas.
· $3,000 - $2,920: an important structural support band; a breakdown here would weaken the bullish structure.

• Macro Technical Patterns
Multiple analysts point out that a symmetrical triangle convergence pattern is forming on the Ethereum daily chart, indicating volatility compression and an imminent choice of direction. The upward breakout target is around $4,060, while the downward breakdown target is near $2,200.

1. High Leverage Risks: Derivatives market data shows that the current ETH market’s long leverage is at a historical high, with many liquidations concentrated between $3,150 and $2,850.
2. Potential Hidden Bearish Divergence: Some analyses indicate that on smaller timeframes (such as the 4-hour chart), when attempting to break through $3,200, momentum indicators (like RSI) already show “hidden bearish divergence.” If the price cannot break through strongly, a pullback may be necessary to digest.
3. Whale Battles: Large whales have established significant short positions worth $63 million near the resistance zone of $3,200-$3,400, which can suppress upward movement and indicates market disagreement at this level.

· Aggressive (Breakout Followed by Long): wait for the price to **effectively break through and stabilize above $3,250**, which can be seen as a short-term bullish signal. The next targets could be $3,305, then around $3,430. However, stop-losses should be set close below the breakout point, as this approach carries higher risk.
· Conservative (Pullback to Long): wait for the price to retrace to and stabilize at key support levels. The more notable support is in the $3,110 - $3,070 range. If the price finds support here and shows a rebound signal, it may offer a better risk-reward long opportunity. Stop-losses can be set below $3,030 or $2,920.
Long-term Catalysts to Watch
Besides short-term trading, some long-term positive factors also support market confidence in Ethereum, forming an important background:
· Institutional Adoption Accelerates: Traditional financial giants like JPMorgan, BlackRock, and Fidelity have begun asset tokenization on Ethereum, viewing it as a reliable financial infrastructure.