#比特币价格走势 Looking at the clash of opinions among analysts these days, it's really enough to make you laugh. Tom Lee predicts Bitcoin will hit a new high by the end of January 2026, but his team then suggests it might drop to just over 60,000 in the first half of next year. James Wynn is opening 40x leverage on short-term longs, and Banmu Xia directly calls for stopping the bullish outlook—this kind of scene is a vivid portrayal of the daily life of retail investors.

Having navigated this market for many years, my biggest lesson is: don’t be blinded by a single voice. The narrative of short-term defense combined with long-term optimism sounds impressive, but the underlying logic is actually—no one really dares to guarantee that now is the best entry point. Tom Lee emphasizes different timeframes, which is true, but the problem is, ordinary people don’t have the ability to switch precisely between short-term risks and long-term opportunities. Most end up being washed out in the process.

What’s even more painful is James Wynn’s back-and-forth switching. He warned in November about a 67,000 USD drop, but it didn’t happen as expected. Now he’s opening 40x leverage on short-term longs again—this kind of repeated pattern, like a market indicator, clearly shows that the market is currently in a phase of unstable liquidity and easily reversible sentiment. Banmu Xia’s statements are even more clear-headed, straightforwardly saying that risks are increasing. It’s not that the bullish outlook won’t see gains, but that the odds here aren’t worth participating in.

Remember this detail: when big influencers are explaining why their views are contradictory, it’s usually a warning sign. This isn’t bottom consensus; it’s a stage where traders are testing the waters. Surviving longer is much more important than getting rich quickly.