1️⃣ The bullish market correction is over, and the market continues to move upward (very low possibility 🚫) Currently, market sentiment has peaked, and unless there is new incremental funding entry (such as large-scale central bank water release, BTC demand surge, etc.), it will be difficult to start a new bull market immediately. An ETH ETF approval may be a potential catalyst, but the current funding environment still does not support a large-scale upward trend. 2️⃣ Market shock of $100,000, forming a double top (low probability ⚠️) In the short term, BTC may attempt to break through the new high, but without sufficient funding support, it is likely to form a false breakout, lure more, and continue to decline. The core logic of the fish tail market is "emotional harvesting". Now that the market has completed most of the harvesting, it is very unlikely to give everyone another perfect chance to escape the top. 3️⃣ Bear market begins, market enters a long period of correction (most likely ✅) The current market phase is very similar to the post-bull market tops of 2018 and 2021, where most institutional funds have been cashed out, leaving only scattered retail funds in the market, making it difficult to form new driving forces. After the emotional decline, the market will gradually return to the value logic, high bubble assets will continue to adjust, undervalued assets may gradually stabilize, but there may not be a big market in the short term #交易复盘分享
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📌 Possible three trends in the future
1️⃣ The bullish market correction is over, and the market continues to move upward (very low possibility 🚫)
Currently, market sentiment has peaked, and unless there is new incremental funding entry (such as large-scale central bank water release, BTC demand surge, etc.), it will be difficult to start a new bull market immediately.
An ETH ETF approval may be a potential catalyst, but the current funding environment still does not support a large-scale upward trend.
2️⃣ Market shock of $100,000, forming a double top (low probability ⚠️)
In the short term, BTC may attempt to break through the new high, but without sufficient funding support, it is likely to form a false breakout, lure more, and continue to decline.
The core logic of the fish tail market is "emotional harvesting". Now that the market has completed most of the harvesting, it is very unlikely to give everyone another perfect chance to escape the top.
3️⃣ Bear market begins, market enters a long period of correction (most likely ✅)
The current market phase is very similar to the post-bull market tops of 2018 and 2021, where most institutional funds have been cashed out, leaving only scattered retail funds in the market, making it difficult to form new driving forces.
After the emotional decline, the market will gradually return to the value logic, high bubble assets will continue to adjust, undervalued assets may gradually stabilize, but there may not be a big market in the short term
#交易复盘分享