The gap between Japan's rate hike and the US rate cut will exceed 5 trillion. Who will bear the cost?
In the next three days, a 75 basis point rate hike. Are institutions trembling this time as well?#非农数据超预期

The Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 0.25% on December 19th, the day after tomorrow.
During the past three rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, Bitcoin prices have all declined
March 2024 → -24%
July 2024 → -30%
January 2025 → -32%
December 2025 →_____#市场触底了吗？

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The current market trend is basically sideways for a while, then a quick spike up, then sideways again, then a quick drop, waiting for a dip before daring to enter—it's just the crypto world.
And outside of the US stock market opening hours, there's almost no liquidity, so it's safe to assume that the trading institutions are definitely not in Asia, and many of the chips in the Chinese-speaking regions have already been thoroughly washed out. #美联储降息预测

Trading suggestions for the morning of December 16 (suggesting 5%, 100x leverage, total position not exceeding 10%):
ETH long position: Spike around 2905 to go long, stop loss at 2866, take profit at 2935-2965-3000
ETH short position: Spike around 3080 to go short, stop loss at 3120, take profit at 3030-2960
Remarks:
After placing the order, I will promptly update the latest take profit strategies on the homepage plaza. Remember to check regularly.
‍#加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预测

Bitcoin$BTC Trading Suggestions
Bearish/Cautious Outlook
· Core Logic:
· Confirmed entry into a broader macro correction phase and completion of the bearish "Head and Shoulders" pattern.
· Price repeatedly faces resistance below the key zone of $93,347-$94,236, with a mid-term bearish outlook.
· Market volume is exhausted, remaining in a sideways state; it is recommended to wait and see before any breakout.
· Key Resistance and Downside Targets:
· Key Resistance: $93,347 - $94,236; upward rebounds may be limited to the $98,000-$100,000 range.
· Key Support and Downside Targets: Firs

Ethereum Trading Recommendations
1. Bullish Outlook
· Key Support: $3,091 - $3,150, repeatedly mentioned as a strong support zone. Holding this level suggests a short-term bullish structure. If it stabilizes above $3,190, it may test $3,450 on the upside.
· Upside Target: A strong breakout and daily close above the $3,400 resistance could open the way toward $3,700 - $3,800.
· Main Basis:
· Whale and institutional capital inflows, such as a whale opening a $3.92 billion long position.
· Bullish divergence signals in technical analysis.
· On-chain Data: Indicates a large amount of ETH holdi

From the end of July to August 5th last year, Japan's first interest rate hike caused ETH to drop from 3400 to 2112 through continuous declines and shocks;
From late January to early February this year, Japan's second interest rate hike caused ETH to drop from 3444 to 2080 through continuous declines and shocks.
This time, it almost started again around 3444. Everyone should pay attention to the risks in the week after next and the week after that. #十二月行情展望

Bitcoin$BTC Trading Recommendations
Based on the latest analysis as of December 12, the core market features and key levels are as follows:
Key Resistance Levels
· First Resistance Zone: $94,000 - $96,500
· Second Resistance Zone: $97,000 - $108,000
Key Support Levels
· First Support Zone: $85,500 - $88,000
· Major Support: $80,000 - $83,500
Current Market Status
· Mainstream View: Weak consolidation, unclear direction
· Potential Catalysts: Waiting for new liquidity or macro catalysts to break the deadlock
· Capital Flows: The options market shows funds preparing for “the next big wave,” whi

Recent Market Key Developments of Focus
Recently, discussions about Ethereum in the market mainly revolve around the following directions, including shifts in macro narratives and specific technological upgrades.
· Wall Street and Regulatory New Narratives
· Core Viewpoint: Some analysts believe that a new link is forming within the capital network between Wall Street and Washington: U.S. political and economic elites → U.S. Treasuries → stablecoins/crypto treasuries → Ethereum + RWA (Real-World Assets) + L2. The recent statement by the U.S. SEC Chairman about "the entire U.S. financial mark

Ethereum$ETH Trading Strategy for Today
Bullish View ( Outlook )
· Core View and Target: Institutional continuous buying, supply tightening, short-term target levels at $3,350 - $3,410.
· Main Basis:
· Institutional Behavior: Large institutions (such as BitMine) continued to accumulate this week, whale addresses have increased holdings by over 934,000 ETH (approximately $30 billion) in the past three weeks.
· Funds and Demand: Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $177.6 million on Tuesday, the highest since October. Exchange-held ETH supply ratio dropped to a historic low of 8.7%, indica

Ethereum $ETH Today's Trading Recommendations
🔴 Bullish Viewpoint ( Potential Long Opportunities )
· Main Rationale: Price is consolidating above a key support level ($3,000), and technical patterns indicate potential for an upside breakout.
· Key Resistance/Target Levels:
· $3,240: Immediate resistance that needs to be broken.
· $3,400-$3,550: Short-term target range favored by analysts.
· Above $3,600: More optimistic extended target.
· Supporting Factors: Institutional buying on dips, ETH supply on exchanges at a historical low (around 9%), which could lead to a supply squeeze.
🟢 B

Summary for today (December 6): Bitcoin $BTC is currently in a consolidation phase at a critical juncture, facing a key directional choice:
📈 Bullish/Upside Factors
· Key resistance breakout expectation: If the price can decisively break through and hold above the key resistance zone of $93,000–$95,000, it may open up further upside potential, targeting $100,000 or even higher.
· Positive long-term valuation: Some institutions (such as JPMorgan) hold an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin based on long-term valuation models, setting a theoretical target price as high as $170,000.
📉 Bearish/Cauti

According to today’s (December 6, 2025) market information, Ethereum $ETH is currently at a key position where there is a clear divergence between bullish and bearish views.
📊 Main Current Market Views and Basis
To help clarify, here are the main bullish and bearish perspectives in the current market and their technical basis:
Main Bearish Views
· Core judgment: Facing the risk of a deep pullback, be alert for a downside breakout.
· Key resistance: $3,200 - $3,250
· Core support: $2,985 - $3,000; if broken, may look toward the $2,800 or even $2,500-$2,200 area
· Main basis:
1. Technical pa