CoolCrazyEmperor

The Chosen One criticizes Powell again, short positions ate meat yesterday! 12.30 Bitcoin Auntie's Strategy
The Chosen One discusses the Federal Reserve again: considering suing Fed Chair Powell, Powell should resign, I really want to fire him, but Powell's term is almost over. Maybe I will ultimately fire Powell. The Fed Chair candidate is expected to be announced in January. The short idea given yesterday suggests that Bitcoin can gain a few more points, Ethereum easily over 100 points, follow along and eat meat!
Bitcoin Auntie’s rally failed and pulled back, the daily chart shows a long upper shadow on a doji candle, indicating strong selling pressure. The rally was blocked, and combined with the New Year’s holiday, there was more selling and profit-taking. So, don’t be overly bullish for now; intraday rebounds can still be shorted!
12.30 Short Position Strategy:
If Bitcoin rebounds to 89,000-89,500, continue shorting. Conservative traders can enter at 90,000-90,500, with a stop around 91,500. Target around 88,000-87,500-87,000. If broken, look at 86,500-86,000, and keep adjusting stops accordingly!
Ethereum rebounds from 3,000-3,030, continue shorting. Conservative traders can enter at 3,060-3,090, with a stop near 3,130. Target around 2,950-2,900. If broken, look at 2,870-2,850, and keep adjusting stops accordingly!
12.30 Long Position Strategy:
Aggressive traders can buy Bitcoin on pullback at 86,000-86,500, with a stop near 85,000. Target around 87,500-88,000-88,500-89,000. If broken, look at 89,500-90,000, and keep adjusting stops accordingly!
Ethereum on pullback from 2,860-2,900, buy with a stop near 2,820. Target around 2,950-2,980. If broken, look at 3,000-3,050, and keep adjusting stops accordingly!
Recent sideways pattern has not caused losses; high sell and low buy every day means profits are there. Once this pattern breaks, follow the trend. Currently, there are no major positive or negative news triggers, so avoid blindly chasing bullish or bearish moves! #加密行情预测

About Entry Positions
There are many articles discussing entry points in the market, but I rarely publicly share my actual entry references. The reason is simple: any technical indicator has its applicable scope and can fail; the key is not in quantity but in mastering one thoroughly.
The fundamental principle of entry is only one sentence:
Buy at support, sell at resistance.
There are many ways to judge support and resistance, such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement, previous highs and lows. Personally, I most often use Bollinger Bands, which are simple and straightforward.
In a bullish trend, focus on the 4-hour Boll lower band support;
In a bearish trend, focus on the 4-hour Boll upper band resistance.
Some may ask, what if the market is very strong and the 4-hour level shows no pullback? Should I just miss the opportunity?
My approach is to build positions gradually.
Suppose the maximum planned investment is 10,000U:
- When breaking out, buy 30% first,
- After a pullback confirmation, add the remaining 70%.
There are two benefits to this approach:
First, it prevents missing the trend entirely while waiting for a pullback;
Second, even if a pullback occurs, it allows adding positions at relatively advantageous levels, reducing emotional trading.
But one point must be emphasized repeatedly—
Whether judging the direction or choosing entry points, it is fundamentally a probability event, and 100% accuracy is impossible.
Once the judgment is wrong, the only correct action is to cut losses.
About Take Profit and Stop Loss
Take profit and stop loss determine whether you can survive in the market.
In a complete trading cycle, as long as total profit exceeds total loss, the system is positive. It’s not complicated to achieve, as long as the following conditions are met:
- Each stop loss ≤ 5% of total capital;
- Each profit ≥ 5% of total capital;
- Overall win rate > 50%.
As long as the risk-reward ratio is greater than 1 and the win rate is within a reasonable range, profitability is guaranteed.
Of course, you can also use a high risk-reward ratio with a low win rate, or a low risk-reward ratio with a high win rate; different paths, same core.
The formula for total profit is simple:
Initial capital × (average profit × win rate − average loss × loss rate)
In my trading system, I only take positions when the market has an expected volatility of over 30%, so the risk-reward ratio is naturally higher. This is one of the core reasons why long-term gains can be achieved.
But in reality, many people do the opposite:
They rush to take profits when they are profitable,
Hold on stubbornly during losses.
Knowing it’s wrong but unable to stop.
This is not a technical issue but a human nature problem.
Greed and fear must be constrained by proper capital management.
About Capital Management
Many say to keep positions light, but what does that mean?
Here’s an actionable standard:
Maximum loss per trade ≤ 5% of total capital.
Exceeding 5% is considered heavy position,
Below 5% is considered light.
Of course, everyone’s psychological tolerance and trading skills differ, so the ratio can be adjusted, but this standard is most friendly to beginners and easiest to stick with long-term.
Let’s also discuss simple interest versus compound interest.
Simple interest has lower risk but slower growth;
Compound interest grows faster but also involves sharper drawdowns.
My strategy is simple:
Trade with simple interest for 30 days, then compound once every 30 days.
This way, you can control drawdowns while still benefiting from the efficiency of compounding.

Imagine grabbing a 100 BTC Casascius bar back in 2011 for $500...
The guy held it through all the cycles, all the noise, never broke the seed .... until now.
2025 finally cashes in. Walks away with $10 million.
Insane crypto lore.

I’ve just updated to Gate APP v8.0.5, and the improvement is immediately noticeable. The app feels much smoother, with faster loading and seamless navigation between markets and charts. The refreshed UI looks cleaner and more organized, making key trading information easier to access. Order placement is more responsive, and market data updates feel more stable, which is important during volatile sessions. I also like the improved Gate Square experience—it’s easier to scroll, read, and engage with content.
My favorite update: overall performance optimization.
Overall rating: 93/100
Suggestion: add more content personalization options.
#GateAPPRefreshExperience

If you are experiencing a bull market for the first time, these tips are crucial:
1. During a bull market, every sharp decline is an opportunity to buy, especially the typical year-end pullback, which is a good entry point.
2. Hold onto your coins and avoid frequent rebalancing, especially when your coins haven't appreciated. Just hold on to them.
3. Don't invest in only one coin; diversify across popular sectors and focus on leading projects. For example, AI, MEME, payments, RWA, U.S. public chains, and BTC ecosystem.
4. Take profits promptly, keep some liquidity, and add to your positions after major dips.
One last point:
The bull market is still ongoing, it’s just a downward-sloping bull.
Don’t define a bull market by price; define it by liquidity.
#btc

#大户持仓动态 The Federal Reserve CPI data is out, and the entire market is waiting for this November report card. According to general expectations, the overall CPI year-over-year should be in the range of 2.6%-2.7%, while the core CPI (excluding energy and food) may stay between 3.2%-3.3%.
The problem is—relying solely on month-over-month data is not enough to explain the issue. Many traders and analysts actually view this report as a transitional reference; the real focus is on the December data and subsequent more comprehensive economic indicators. These key data points have a significant impact on the trends of mainstream cryptocurrencies like $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB.
Short-term fluctuations are unavoidable, but a deeper market logic depends on how inflation expectations evolve.