IgnasDeFi
My whole X timeline is crypto-only now.
God, I love it here.
Especially when the market is green.
God, I love it here.
Especially when the market is green.
Trade
Basic
Futures
Futures
Hundreds of contracts settled in USDT or BTC
Options
HOT
Trade European-style vanilla options
Unified Account
Maximize your capital efficiency
Demo Trading
Futures Kickoff
Get prepared for your futures trading
Futures Events
Participate in events to win generous rewards
Demo Trading
Use virtual funds to experience risk-free trading
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Launch
CandyDrop
Collect candies to earn airdrops
Launchpool
Quick staking, earn potential new tokens
HODLer Airdrop
Hold GT and get massive airdrops for free
Launchpad
Be early to the next big token project
Alpha Points
NEW
Trade on-chain assets and enjoy airdrop rewards!
Futures Points
NEW
Earn futures points and claim airdrop rewards
Investment
Simple Earn
Earn interests with idle tokens
Auto-Invest
Auto-invest on a regular basis
Dual Investment
Buy low and sell high to take profits from price fluctuations
Soft Staking
Earn rewards with flexible staking
Crypto Loan
0 Fees
Pledge one crypto to borrow another
Lending Center
One-stop lending hub
VIP Wealth Hub
Customized wealth management empowers your assets growth
Private Wealth Management
Customized asset management to grow your digital assets
Quant Fund
Top asset management team helps you profit without hassle
Staking
Stake cryptos to earn in PoS products
Smart Leverage
NEW
No forced liquidation before maturity, worry-free leveraged gains
GUSD Minting
Use USDT/USDC to mint GUSD for treasury-level yields
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IgnasDeFi
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Crypto Truths & Lies: Lessons from 2025
If you don’t review your own thinking, you’re not investing, but just guessing.
Read it here 👇
If you don’t review your own thinking, you’re not investing, but just guessing.
Read it here 👇
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My 2026 price prediction for BTC is $174k.
Everyone is scared to make predictions after last year's misses. Still, analysts and institutions generally agree BTC ends 2026 higher: $150k is the "safe" bet.
That's a 59% pump.
But I like the $174k number. It's simple, really:
As digital gold, BTC has to catch up. OG whales and 4-year cycloooors already sold.
The overhang is (soon to be) gone. I expect a quick catch-up trade to 10% of Gold's market cap.
Since I believe Gold hits $5k on rate cuts, BTC at 10% of that MC is exactly $174k.
Doesn't seem too euphoric.
Everyone is scared to make predictions after last year's misses. Still, analysts and institutions generally agree BTC ends 2026 higher: $150k is the "safe" bet.
That's a 59% pump.
But I like the $174k number. It's simple, really:
As digital gold, BTC has to catch up. OG whales and 4-year cycloooors already sold.
The overhang is (soon to be) gone. I expect a quick catch-up trade to 10% of Gold's market cap.
Since I believe Gold hits $5k on rate cuts, BTC at 10% of that MC is exactly $174k.
Doesn't seem too euphoric.
BTC-1,4%
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Back to the grind after a long vacation.
Starting by participating in $INX sale.
Infinex is what crypto needs more of:
1) Big vision: To replace CEXs.
Even I use CEXs often due to privacy reasons by breaking the trail of wallets. Mixers get you in trouble. CEXs take your KYC data.
Infinex is a perfect solution.
On top, most wallets also fail to add non-EVM or Solana assets like XPR, ADA, TRX. This has limited normie access to non-custodial wallets.
2) Supporting inspiring builders:
When it comes to DeFi, @kaiynne's initial vision for Synthetix drew me in with its SUPER ambition. I spent days s
Starting by participating in $INX sale.
Infinex is what crypto needs more of:
1) Big vision: To replace CEXs.
Even I use CEXs often due to privacy reasons by breaking the trail of wallets. Mixers get you in trouble. CEXs take your KYC data.
Infinex is a perfect solution.
On top, most wallets also fail to add non-EVM or Solana assets like XPR, ADA, TRX. This has limited normie access to non-custodial wallets.
2) Supporting inspiring builders:
When it comes to DeFi, @kaiynne's initial vision for Synthetix drew me in with its SUPER ambition. I spent days s
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Happy New Year.
Now we can start the real bull run.
Now we can start the real bull run.
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LilyWantsToSleep
:
:Nansen's wallet addition is a smart move:
- Track 'smart money' and trade directly within the platform.
- Monitor portfolio performance
It may seem like a small add-on, but similar to Farcaster's pivot from social media to a wallet-first approach, this makes Nansen a big competitor to Axiom and other trading terminals.
Many underestimate Nansen as just a 'data platform,' but it's much more.
I wouldn't be surprised if they introduced AI trading in the future, allowing you to copy-trade smart money in one place.
It's easy to shill, especially with the $NSN airdrop coming and points now live.
Use
- Track 'smart money' and trade directly within the platform.
- Monitor portfolio performance
It may seem like a small add-on, but similar to Farcaster's pivot from social media to a wallet-first approach, this makes Nansen a big competitor to Axiom and other trading terminals.
Many underestimate Nansen as just a 'data platform,' but it's much more.
I wouldn't be surprised if they introduced AI trading in the future, allowing you to copy-trade smart money in one place.
It's easy to shill, especially with the $NSN airdrop coming and points now live.
Use
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It's annoying that Ethereum takes 15min to finalize transaction.
Or 64 blocks.
You have to wait until money is freely available in your CEX account (to withdraw).
And it puts risks for cross-chain bridges. So bridges might take the risk of reorg if they want to offer users fast bridging experience.
Similarly for optimistic rollups.
Or imagine for big purchases in stablecoins face-to-face (if they were common). you'd need wait 15 awkward minutes until it's finalized.
Can't wait for Single Slot Finality (SSF) hard fork but not sure if it's coming in 2026.
Or 64 blocks.
You have to wait until money is freely available in your CEX account (to withdraw).
And it puts risks for cross-chain bridges. So bridges might take the risk of reorg if they want to offer users fast bridging experience.
Similarly for optimistic rollups.
Or imagine for big purchases in stablecoins face-to-face (if they were common). you'd need wait 15 awkward minutes until it's finalized.
Can't wait for Single Slot Finality (SSF) hard fork but not sure if it's coming in 2026.
ETH-1,91%
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Things I got wrong this cycle:
- restaking
- Runes/Ordinals
- Friend tech
- Stacks ecosystem
- Sonic
- Arweave/AO
Weirdly, a few good decisions fixed the above mistakes:
- Not fading Sol
- Buying Hype
- Selling airdrops
- No leverage.
Not many lessons to take from these mistakes: I believed and still believe in clicking buttons.
But the amount of clicking has decreased significantly since late 2025.
The R/R for alts seems bad and great airdrops are few and rare.
- restaking
- Runes/Ordinals
- Friend tech
- Stacks ecosystem
- Sonic
- Arweave/AO
Weirdly, a few good decisions fixed the above mistakes:
- Not fading Sol
- Buying Hype
- Selling airdrops
- No leverage.
Not many lessons to take from these mistakes: I believed and still believe in clicking buttons.
But the amount of clicking has decreased significantly since late 2025.
The R/R for alts seems bad and great airdrops are few and rare.
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Seeing so many prominent CT accounts fall for geopolitical psyops and propaganda makes me question their ability to navigate crypto narratives.
After years in crypto, you should have built strong bullshit detectors.
We’ve got shitloads of lessons to filter through scams, manipulation, and coordinated hype every cycle.
The whole point was to stop falling for simple, viral, emotionally charged stories and start questioning who benefits.
The worst part is you gain nothing by engaging in geopolitical debates on CT.
You just lose credibility and gain enemies.
Even though you won't notice it as 'mut
After years in crypto, you should have built strong bullshit detectors.
We’ve got shitloads of lessons to filter through scams, manipulation, and coordinated hype every cycle.
The whole point was to stop falling for simple, viral, emotionally charged stories and start questioning who benefits.
The worst part is you gain nothing by engaging in geopolitical debates on CT.
You just lose credibility and gain enemies.
Even though you won't notice it as 'mut
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Happy Christmas, my poor friends 🎁
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GateUser-49a8df81:
Go full throttle 🚀:BTC price action is painful, especially when gold, silver, Nasdaq pumps.
Ironically, this makes BTC attractive long term for institutions.
If BTC trades like tech, it’s useless for diversification.
If it trades on some mysterious catalysts, it makes it allocatable.
Blackrock called it 'A Unique Diversifier' as it is obviously risky, but can't be evaluated on P/E, sales, or other criteria typical for 'risk-on' assets.
Funny, many crypto analyzoooors continue to bet on BTC as Nasdaq beta.
If this beta is gone, it's long-term bullish BTC.
"Over the long term, bitcoin’s adoption trajectory is like
Ironically, this makes BTC attractive long term for institutions.
If BTC trades like tech, it’s useless for diversification.
If it trades on some mysterious catalysts, it makes it allocatable.
Blackrock called it 'A Unique Diversifier' as it is obviously risky, but can't be evaluated on P/E, sales, or other criteria typical for 'risk-on' assets.
Funny, many crypto analyzoooors continue to bet on BTC as Nasdaq beta.
If this beta is gone, it's long-term bullish BTC.
"Over the long term, bitcoin’s adoption trajectory is like
BTC-1,4%
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More on BTC as a unique diversifier:
"Potential return drivers bitcoin faces are fundamentally different from traditional “risky” assets, making it unfitting for most traditional finance frameworks – including the “risk on” vs. “risk off” framework employed by some macro commentators."
BTC is still a risky asset. We now suffer from it. But still bullish longer term.
"Potential return drivers bitcoin faces are fundamentally different from traditional “risky” assets, making it unfitting for most traditional finance frameworks – including the “risk on” vs. “risk off” framework employed by some macro commentators."
BTC is still a risky asset. We now suffer from it. But still bullish longer term.
BTC-1,4%
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It's sad the amount of CT accounts I muted recently as they shifted to non-crypto content.
Guys, I don't really care about your take on rage-bait viral videos that are in NO WAY connected to crypto.
Focus.
Guys, I don't really care about your take on rage-bait viral videos that are in NO WAY connected to crypto.
Focus.
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At the end of the day, crypto fails to pump because most tokens sit in two hands:
- OG whales
- Retail
Whales grew up, started families, and are selling after massive gains. Mostly to institutions, as planned.
Retail is sentiment-driven. Short-term. Emotional. Panic sellers.
Price moves only when supply shifts again to long-term holders.
That’s the Great Rotation.
Everything else is post-factum justification.
- OG whales
- Retail
Whales grew up, started families, and are selling after massive gains. Mostly to institutions, as planned.
Retail is sentiment-driven. Short-term. Emotional. Panic sellers.
Price moves only when supply shifts again to long-term holders.
That’s the Great Rotation.
Everything else is post-factum justification.
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Projects launched DAOs and promised value accrual to token once protocol is profitable.
But when protocol is profitable, suddenly equity gets the upside.
As for tokenless projects like Kalshi, Polymarket, why launch token and give 60% - 70% of the tokens (and revenue) away when you can keep larger share to yourself via equity.
Incentives are broken in crypto.
But when protocol is profitable, suddenly equity gets the upside.
As for tokenless projects like Kalshi, Polymarket, why launch token and give 60% - 70% of the tokens (and revenue) away when you can keep larger share to yourself via equity.
Incentives are broken in crypto.
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Maybe it’s good crypto prices are subdued in the short term:
Crypto quietly passes key regulation, Blackrock and others tokenize assets, and builders build key infrastructure for mass adoption.
If crypto was as noisy as in 2020/21 with monkey NFTs in millions, multiple scams then we could face big backlash.
Now, the public largely does not care what happens.
And when critics start to care, it will be too late to change anything.
Just a thought before going to sleep.
Gn
Crypto quietly passes key regulation, Blackrock and others tokenize assets, and builders build key infrastructure for mass adoption.
If crypto was as noisy as in 2020/21 with monkey NFTs in millions, multiple scams then we could face big backlash.
Now, the public largely does not care what happens.
And when critics start to care, it will be too late to change anything.
Just a thought before going to sleep.
Gn
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Base app will probably get the largest share of $BASE airdrop.
In retrospect, it would be the most obvious airdrop:
Brian Armstrong and Jesse shill it all the time.
And many are still lazy to sign up.
In retrospect, it would be the most obvious airdrop:
Brian Armstrong and Jesse shill it all the time.
And many are still lazy to sign up.
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