IncomeSharks

Best advice for new traders to the markets:
50% of your trading portfolio in the S&P 500, 50% you trade. Profits you make go back into the S&P 500, and if you don't make profits then you just learned a valuable lesson early to just put 100% into the S&P 500 long term.

Get the dip buyers excited with a bounce, get the bears nervous and have them close their shorts. Then continue the drop even further and get the dip buyers to finally sell for a loss and bears to re-open shorts at the lows then send the market back to all time highs in 2027

There's an argument to be made that Bitcoin already made a bottom or is much closer to one while stocks are still trying to find one. Bitcoin crashed months before stocks did so logically would make sense it bottoms before them too.

Even if we get a down year the market isn't going to make it easy to short. The easiest play is to set bids on the way down and be patient.

Nice green Turnaround Tuesday so far. Doesn't mean we are suddenly back and are currently still on pace for a 6th losing week in a row. We have yet to see follow through on any move for weeks.

It's incredibly rare to get two consecutive down years which has only happened 3 times:
Hoover 4 consecutive down years
Bush 3 consecutive down years
Nixon 2 consecutive down years

The markets won't crash as much as the bears think, and the dips won't be as easy to buy as the bulls think. The truth often falls somewhere in the middle of the extremes.

Making 100% one year and losing 50% the next means in two years you spent all that time to break even.
Retail isn't bad at trading, they are terrible at stopping while up (we've all done it).
Solution? Years you beat the market, put that money into the S&P 500 to preserve it.

The markets don't bottom when the price of OIL tops, it's actually closer to the opposite. The best 3 time times to buy stocks the past 20 years were all at the lowest prices of OIL.