#加密货币市场趋势 Recently, I noticed that the BWTS indicator and BTC price have diverged, which reminded me of similar situations in the past. Although market sentiment remains cautious, this divergence often signals that panic emotions are gradually subsiding. However, I still need to remind myself to stay vigilant, as the divergence after last year's Luna crash eventually evolved into a deeper bear market.
Currently, the conditions for a rebound seem to be in place, but the key is to observe whether this divergence can be sustained. If it can be maintained, then this rebound may still have potenti

#比特币价格走势分析 I just came across an analysis about Bitcoin price support levels that caught my attention. It is said that there are over 300,000 Bitcoins accumulated around $84,400, forming an important support. This data is indeed worth noting, but I think it needs to be validated with other technical indicators.
As a cautious trader, I usually don't jump to conclusions easily. However, if this support level truly exists, it could provide some buffer for short-term price movements. Of course, the market is constantly changing, so we must stay vigilant and be ready to adjust our strategies at an

#美联储利率政策 This PCE report is truly heartwarming. I have been closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's movements, and this data will undoubtedly be a key factor in decision-making. Based on current forecasts, inflation seems to be showing a slight rebound, which may make the Fed more cautious about interest rate cuts. However, market reactions are often unpredictable, so we need to be prepared for both sides. During this period, I will keep a close eye on several traders who excel at grasping macroeconomic trends to see how they adjust their strategies based on the PCE data. After all, in such

#预测市场发展 This news is quite exciting. Polymarket launching on MetaMask mobile means that prediction markets are becoming more convenient. I've been paying close attention to this area and believe it has great potential. However, as a cautious person, I still want to remind everyone: convenience is a double-edged sword. While operations become easier, risks also come with it. It's recommended to start with small amounts, familiarize yourself with the rules and risks, and then increase your stakes. After all, practice makes perfect; only through firsthand experience can you truly grasp the intri

#加密货币监管趋势 Seeing this news, I can't help but think that Pakistan's move is quite wise. Instead of resisting outright, it's better to proactively embrace change and establish a reasonable framework. This tiered licensing system is worth paying attention to and could serve as a model for other emerging markets. However, as a follow-the-leader trader, I am more concerned about its impact on market sentiment. If implemented properly, it might attract more institutional funds and improve overall liquidity. But for now, I remain cautious and will wait to see the specific policy details before makin

#比特币价格分析 Recently, I have seen predictions on Polymarket about the probability of Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 within the year, and I must say, these numbers are quite interesting. A 50% chance, neither high nor low, the market sentiment seems to be at a delicate balance point. However, relying solely on data from a single prediction platform is not enough to make a judgment. I have always advocated for multi-dimensional analysis, considering technical, fundamental, and market sentiment factors comprehensively. Currently, with little time left in the year, it’s not easy for Bitcoin to hit new

#加密货币市场周期分析 It seems that the Federal Reserve's policies are once again going to bring volatility to the market. Although the S&P 500 index is already approaching its all-time high, if the Federal Reserve signals dovishness next week, it could actually dampen market sentiment. After all, this suggests that the economy may be weaker than expected. I have been closely monitoring how these macro factors affect various traders. Some may reduce their positions out of concern about an economic slowdown, while others may bet on the Fed's easing policies. The key is to identify those experts who can

#Polymarket预测市场事件 Polymarket has returned to the US market, and this is big news. As someone who has been following prediction markets for a long time, I have to say that this comeback was a bit unexpected. They were fined $1.4 million by the CFTC two years ago, and now they have obtained regulatory approval through the acquisition of QCX. This move is very impressive, re-entering the US domestic market from overseas.
It seems they are adopting a gradual strategy, first opening up the sports sector, then gradually expanding into other areas. This cautious approach is very wise, given the comp

#加密货币监管动态 This regulatory trend is worth paying attention to. The SEC's warning about high-leverage ETFs demonstrates regulators' concerns about market risks. The 200% leverage cap may impact the profitability of some aggressive strategies, but in the long run, it is beneficial for the healthy development of the market. I will closely monitor subsequent developments and adjust the follow-up strategies accordingly. For friends who enjoy high risk and high reward, it is recommended to carefully assess your risk tolerance and avoid blindly pursuing high leverage. After all, the market changes ra

#稳定币发展 Seeing this news, it feels like the market is about to change again. The statement from the former Vice President of the Bank of China is no joke, which means that regulators are even more resolute in their stance on virtual currencies. The several trading experts I follow have all heavily invested in projects related to stablecoins, so it looks like I need to quickly adjust my strategy.
However, a careful analysis shows that this policy direction is actually within expectations. After all, the development of digital RMB has always been a key national strategic focus, and we do have cl

#美联储货币政策变化 This employment data is really crucial this time. The Federal Reserve is meeting next week, but the official non-farm payroll and inflation data happen to be absent. Tonight's "Mini Non-Farm" and other employment indicators have become the market's lifeline. I need to keep a close eye on these data points, as they are likely to trigger significant volatility.
However, to be honest, the market seems to be quite confident about a rate cut. The probability of a 25 basis point cut in December on Polymarket is as high as 94%, which is no joke. But I still need to stay vigilant, as marke

#加密货币市场分析 It seems that a new project worth paying attention to has emerged in the Solana ecosystem. The HumidiFi team's background is indeed very strong, with experience in high-frequency trading and deep involvement in Solana's underlying infrastructure. This combination of technical strength and institutional resources could potentially bring a qualitative leap to DeFi. I have been looking for projects that can enhance on-chain liquidity, and HumidiFi is undoubtedly a good choice. However, as a cautious follower, I will observe their performance for a while longer, especially how they hand

#比特币价格分析 This JPMorgan analysis report is really interesting. A target price of $170,000 sounds very tempting, but we need to stay rational. The recent sharp decline has indeed been shocking, but seeing that the Strategy's mNAV is still above 1, at least in the short term, there's no need to worry too much about being forced to sell coins.
I've been observing a few traders who are good at grasping big trends; they have all been cautiously increasing their positions recently. However, I still recommend everyone to control their positions well, after all, the market is so volatile. Personally,

#DeFi创新发展 The recent HumidiFi presale being targeted by bots highlights once again the coexistence of opportunities and risks in the DeFi space. As a long-term observer, I believe this serves as both a warning and an opportunity. On one hand, it exposes the vulnerabilities of the current presale mechanisms, reminding us to be more cautious when following trades; on the other hand, the Jupiter team responded quickly and committed to developing a fairer solution, demonstrating the project's sense of responsibility and execution capability.
Based on the introduction of Jupiter founder regarding

#Kalshi预测市场争议 The controversy surrounding this prediction market is really escalating. Kalshi is valued at $11 billion, with trading volume surging, but it also faces regulatory risks and user lawsuits. From an industry development perspective, this conflict between regulation and capital is actually quite normal. The key is whether Kalshi can find a balance between compliance and innovation. I think in the short term, they might continue to advance rapidly, after all, the demand is there. But in the long run, if they can't resolve the legal identity issue, they will eventually hit a setback.

#Kalshi预测市场争议 This is truly exciting news! Kalshi has not only raised $1 billion in funding but has also partnered with top media outlets like CNN and CNBC. This indicates that prediction markets are rapidly entering the mainstream spotlight, with broad prospects for future development. As someone who has been following this field for a long time, I feel that my insights and judgments have been validated. However, the best time to enter the market may have already passed. I recommend everyone keep a close eye on the developments of these two platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, especially their

#比特币市场分析 This rally is indeed very strong, but we need to stay calm. In the short term, $89,923 is a key support level. If it holds, there is still hope for the future. However, chasing longs now carries significant risk, as we've already reached high expectations. My advice is to be patient and see if we can stabilize above $93,958. If the daily candle closes above this level, it will be interesting — indicators will turn bullish, and a daily rebound can be expected. $95,604 and $99,108 are both target levels worth paying attention to. In summary, stay alert, control your position size, as o

#代币化资产 This regulatory reminder once again emphasizes the risks of virtual currencies and tokenized assets. I have observed that many traders have recently been seeking high returns in these gray areas, but the risks and rewards are often proportional. As rational investors, we must always be vigilant about regulatory red lines and carefully assess risks. Currently, I will continue to focus on high-quality traders in the traditional financial markets and diversify investments to balance risk. At the same time, I also recommend paying more attention to compliant financial innovations, as the p