SatoshiSecrets
Government policy-making departments and intelligence agencies in various countries may need to incorporate abnormal data fluctuations in prediction markets into their reference frameworks in the future.
The recent incident in Venezuela is a typical example. On the eve of major political changes, there was a remarkable trading anomaly on Polymarket—three wallet accounts with no prior betting records suddenly made large-scale bets just hours before a key event, with betting amounts reaching millions of dollars.
From on-chain behavior patterns, these transactions exhibit obvious "predictive" cha
View OriginalThe recent incident in Venezuela is a typical example. On the eve of major political changes, there was a remarkable trading anomaly on Polymarket—three wallet accounts with no prior betting records suddenly made large-scale bets just hours before a key event, with betting amounts reaching millions of dollars.
From on-chain behavior patterns, these transactions exhibit obvious "predictive" cha