TonyTheBull

Took some time away to reset and rest
Video dropping on Slice in ~one hour
Bitcoin - S&P 500 - Silver - BTC.D

Listen
If Bitcoin / crypto suddenly is viewed by the world as the non-sovereign play…
That is a powerful enough narrative to potentially change my longer term bearish thesis
At the center of my bearish thesis is a simple Doji candlestick on the yearly chart — a pause due to indecision
Indecision can lead to a reversal of trend, or strong continuation of the trend that paused
After indecision comes decisiveness — whatever direction the next narrative takes us, will be defining
I have said all along if a new narrative worthy enough appears, it will replace the narratives I am saying are dead:

“In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity.”
— Sun Tzu

On X, I got this wrong, right? If you hear me speak publicly, I chose a side, but I was always open and am always open to pivoting
On Slice, I got ahead of potentially being wrong, and gave some clear signals that would tell my subscribers to buy/long instead
We need a weekly close to confirm, but it does look like a buy signal is being generated by the RSI according to the Wilder Method (the tool's creator)
I remain unconvinced by the move – I actually just hedge shorted
My system entered a long once we got above the daily Kijun-sen on the Ichimoku, something I said live today in my video wit

I am on the wrong side of this at the moment, but about to flip
This is such an incredible moment to witness
Can't wait to see how this concludes
Somewhat skeptical here, but can't deny this has some power behind it

Tune in
I am going to say more things no one wants to hear

This is the point of the cycle where alt season would end, and Bitcoin season would resume
What happens to alts now?

“We are just in an extended cycle”
Interesting
Ever see an extended “day”
And extended “year”
And extended “moon phase”
Cycles are rigid in term of time
Everything else can change
A clock’s face is round for a reason
It doesn’t extend
The forces of a cycle can combine to alter the environment
Example: the Earth’s rotation (cycle) gives us seasons (cycles) that change how much day and night (cycles) we get unless it’s an equinox
Even with all that fluctuation, change, etc. the timing never changes

Have you ever felt capitulation before?
Can you say with full honesty that this market has capitulated this cycle?
I promise you it hasn't
When I am not the only guy questioning Bitcoin's survival, capitulation has happened
When capitulation arrives, no one will want to buy
Until we see those uncontrollable subconscious emotions spilling out, we haven't bottomed