Lucaa

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80K might be the new 15K
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You’re not an investor if you worry about the daily price action.
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$COIN – I’m not liking the market structure here at all, as the price has broken below the high-timeframe support range I highlighted in some of my prior updates, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci POI at $241, which is a clear sign of weakness.
That said, I’m waiting on further signs before taking a more decisive stance, since this could still end up being just a deviation below support.
However, if the weakness continues, I would look to fully hedge my entire spot position, since a durable break below this range would open the door for a deeper pullback on the mid-term and would be a clear st
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$TSLA - The base case seems to be playing out, with the price reaching the 1D Bull Market Support Band after rejecting at the high-timeframe resistance range between the 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extension levels.
That said, the price seems to be breaking below it, so if the weakness continues in the coming days, I'll be looking to hedge part of my spot holdings in order to mitigate the short-term downside risk, since that would open the door for a deeper pullback toward the prior high-timeframe resistance range, marked in red, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci POI at $430, before a more durab
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$TSLA - Looks like the price has rejected at the resistance range between the 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extension levels, which I covered in some of my prior updates.
That said, I believe that the base case remains intact, a test of the 1D Bull Market Support Band, currently sitting at $461, in case of a rejection at this resistance range, before a more durable reversal to the upside.
If, however, the price were to break below the support band, I would look to hedge part of my spot holdings in order to mitigate the short-term downside risk, since that would open the door for a deeper pullback
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GM
My 2026 Outlook thread is dropping today. Stay tuned! 😁🔥
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$ETH - I’m not liking the market structure on the low-timeframes, as the price has broken below the 1D Bull Market Support Band, a level that has been a strong reversal spot for months, and has since failed to reclaim it.
That’s a clear sign of short-term weakness.
Because of this, I believe the most likely outcome in the short-term is further downside or continued consolidation inside the high-timeframe support range marked in green, which has previously acted as both a strong resistance and a strong bounce zone.
Until we get clear signs of strength, such as a durable reclaim of the support b
ETH-0,15%
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$BTC - The price continues to reject at the lost high-timeframe support range marked in purple, aligning with the 1D Bull Market Support Band, a spot that has been a strong reversal zone for months.
This repeated failure to reclaim it is a clear sign of short-term weakness.
Because of this, I believe the best approach is to stay cautious until we see a durable break and reclaim of both the range and the support band.
If we get another rejection, even though sentiment is shaky and crypto has underperformed for weeks, and even though I do think a rotation into risk-assets is coming soon, we stil
BTC-1,43%
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GM ☕️
Time for my thread with my perspectives going into 2026 to roll.
Stay tuned! 😁🔥
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It’s officially Christmas Eve, time to cherish what truly matters, the embrace of loved ones, and family.
Merry Christmas Eve to you and your loved ones! Thank you for everything this year!🥂
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Hey guys, I wanted to quickly address the recent silence.
I spent the last few days with family, which is why things were a bit quieter on my end and why some content got delayed.
That said, tomorrow I’ve got some very exciting things ready, ideas and setups I’ve been talking about for a while and have been actively working on behind the scenes.
I’ll also be covering a bunch of your chart requests, so make sure you stay tuned for that as well!
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This is called the “Brain Damage” market structure.
$BTC
BTC-1,43%
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Which way, Western man?
$BTC
BTC-1,43%
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For me, trading doesn’t make sense.
The whole point of investing, as I see it, is to buy yourself more time first, the money comes after.
That’s why I think day-trading is one of the most overhyped and over-marketed ideas pushed by gurus.
It lures people because of potential quick gains, but in reality, it often underperforms simply holding with a plan.
In my view, discipline, patience, and a strategy you can actually stick to are what compound over years, not chasing every tick on a screen.
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Going into this week, we have a lot of major macro events lined up, including a Triple Witching Friday, so here are my thoughts and positioning, aligned with the current market structure on $BTC, $ETH, and alts.
First things first, these are the most important macro events this week:
Monday:
China Housing Data
Canada Inflation Data
Tuesday:
US Labor Market + Housing Data (!)
Wednesday:
Great Britain Inflation Data
US Fed officials speak
Thursday:
Great Britain BOE Decision (!)
Euro Area ECB Decision (!)
US Inflation Data (!)
Friday:
Japan Inflation Data
Japan BOJ Decision (!)
The most importan
BTC-1,43%
ETH-0,15%
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$BTC - The price has once again rejected at the prior high-timeframe support range, marked in purple, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months, following a brief deviation above the 1D Bull Market Support Band, something I covered in my prior update. This rejection is a clear sign of weakness.
Now, the price has once again lost both the support band and the high-timeframe support range marked in purple.
Because of this, I’m tracking the market structure very closely.
I don’t want to take a more decisive stance on the low-timeframes based on a low-liquidity, low-volu
BTC-1,43%
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Hey guys, taking today off to spend some time with family after a long week of work.
I’ll be sharing everything I’ve prepared tomorrow.
Stay tuned!
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GM.
Time for some weekend updates and the Weekly Market Wrap-Up.
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