#密码资产动态追踪 Bitcoin 1-hour chart: the silent battle between bulls and bears hidden inside — bottom divergence signals are quietly taking shape

After so many years of trading, I've seen this type of scenario countless times: Bollinger Bands narrowing, MACD sticking below the zero line — it looks deceptively calm, but this is precisely the quiet period before the market gathers strength.

Let me break down the current situation from three angles:

**On the technical side**, price is being suppressed by the BOLL middle band, volume expands on downturns and shrinks on rebounds — a classic weak pattern. But there's a crucial detail here: the MACD histogram is already showing signs of bottom divergence. Price is making new lows while momentum isn't following suit — this divergence is essentially saying "selling pressure is running out." Once energy accumulates, the bulls could ignite their counterattack at any moment.

**On-chain data is sending even more interesting signals**. Over the past day, net inflows into exchanges reached 32,000 BTC, which sounds like plenty of people are exiting. But at the same time, whale addresses are quietly accumulating in tranches. This contrast of "retail panic selling while smart money silently soaks up supply" often marks when a short-term bottom is forming.

**On the macro front**, the latest Fed meeting minutes hint at "not ruling out rate cuts" — a fuzzy signal that suggests expectations of liquidity tightening are easing. For crypto assets, this is a rare breathing opportunity.

Here's my assessment: market sentiment has already crashed into excessive panic territory, but real money has already been quietly positioning. If price can consolidate in the current range for 4 to 6 hours and complete the bottom formation, once it breaks above the Bollinger middle band with MACD golden cross confirmation on volume, the short-term rebound should target the 92500 resistance level. Conversely, if volume breaks down, I need to stop loss immediately.

Trading ultimately comes down to planning and execution, not direction betting. I've already placed orders in tranches waiting for confirmation. Remember this: good moves are born from despair, wavering back and forth.

$BTC