在地缘政治風險與宏觀壓力影響下，比特幣價格跌破6.8萬美元，SkyBridge Capital創始人Anthony Scaramucci認為這屬於典型的周期性回調，預計2026年比特幣可能重新上漲。儘管市場面臨短期風險，長期看漲觀點依然穩固。

Skybridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci stated that Bitcoin's current bear market can be explained by the four-year cycle theory, with long-term holders concentrating their selling around $100,000. He predicts Bitcoin will resume its rally in Q4 2026, initiating a new bull market cycle. Institutional investors and ETF capital inflows have dampened the four-year cycle, but have not completely eliminated its pattern.

Gate News Report: On March 21st, according to Arkham monitoring, Ethereum OG address thomasg.eth is re-entering the market. This address previously held approximately $538 million worth of ETH, WBTC, and DAI at the peak of the 2021 bull market. Latest data shows that this address has cumulatively purchased approximately $19.5 million worth of ETH this week, with the latest single purchase amounting to approximately $3 million.

Bitcoin recently broke through $74,000 briefly but pulled back to around $70,800 due to selling pressure from short-term holders. Although prices show an upward trend, they face structural resistance, and the current movement looks more like a bear market rally than a bull market launch. If unable to effectively resist selling pressure, it may break below the $70,000 support level. The market is still waiting for clearer signals.

3月19日，美聯儲維持利率不變後，加密市場情緒轉向看漲，交易員對比特幣反彈押注增多。然而，市場對反彈的持續性存疑，分析師警示可能出現“牛市陷阱”。比特幣價格約70,800美元，情緒指數仍顯示“極度恐懼”，市場波動受利率路徑、股市表現等因素影響。