XRP Holds Key Support as Exchange Supply Hits Multi-Year Lows - Crypto Economy

TLDR

  • XRP balance on exchange platforms plummeted from 3.76 billion to nearly 1.6 billion in just two months.
  • The $1.78 technical support is identified as the zone of highest accumulation according to Glassnode data.
  • Analysts suggest that ETF demand is draining liquidity, setting the stage for a potential rally.

The Ripple ecosystem is closing the year with a signal that has sparked optimism among long-term investors. While the price remained stable near $1.87, on-chain data indicated a massive trend of asset withdrawals.

Currently, the XRP supply on exchanges has fallen to levels not recorded since August 2018, suggesting a drastic reduction in immediate selling intent and a coordinated movement toward cold storage.

Glassnode indicates that exchange balances have decreased by approximately 2.16 billion tokens since October. This phenomenon usually precedes periods of low sell-side liquidity, which facilitates upward price discovery if institutional demand maintains its current pace.

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Critical Supports and Recovery Projections for 2026

Technically, the market has established a very clear “line in the sand.” Throughout 2025, the demand zone located between $1.60 and $1.84 has functioned as a reliable floor. However, the UTXO realized price level highlights $1.78 as the most robust support point, where nearly 1.87 billion XRP changed hands.

Staying above this value is vital for the XRP supply on exchanges to continue decreasing without generating panic in the retail market.

Industry analysts, such as LeviRietveld, consider this setup to be markedly bullish. The record outflow of 1.4 billion tokens in a single day (last October 19) reinforces the thesis that large holders or “whales” are accumulating aggressively.

In summary, if XRP manages to defend this support and confirm a triple bottom structure on the weekly chart, the path toward $3.79 could open in 2026. Nevertheless, caution persists: without new macroeconomic catalysts, the asset could remain in a sideways range before starting its next major expansion.

XRP-1.86%
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