📋 Federal Reserve Key Information Summary:

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🔴 Core Decision: Interest Rates Held Steady
Rates maintained at 3.5%-3.75%, voted 11-1, only Miran advocated for a 25 basis point cut, all others agreed to hold steady.
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📊 Dot Plot Most Critical Changes
• Only 1 rate cut expected in 2026, 7 officials believe no cuts this year
• 1 more cut in 2027, long-term rate anchor set at 3.1%
• Compared to last meeting, internal sentiment increasingly conservative, rate cut expectations further narrowed
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📈 Economic Forecast Updates
• PCE inflation raised from 2.4% to 2.7%, the biggest headwind
• GDP growth slightly raised to 2.4%, economy hasn't collapsed
• Unemployment rate expectations maintained unchanged
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⚡ Powell Press Conference Key Points
• Clearly stated he will not voluntarily resign and will continue serving until successor Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed
• Cautious stance on inflation, stating "medium-term inflation pressures remain uncertain"
• Iran conflict drives oil prices near $100/barrel, directly raising inflation expectations and compressing rate cut room
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💥 Impact on Crypto Markets
• Bitcoin dropped nearly 4% after decision announcement, not a major issue
• Dow Jones fell over 600 points, Nasdaq and S&P 500 declined in sync
• 10-year Treasury yield at 4.21%, risk assets overall under pressure
• Fear & Greed Index currently at 26 (fear zone), sentiment hasn't improved
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🧭 Key Levels for Market Outlook
• Bitcoin unable to hold 72000, watch 68000 below
• If holding above 72000, after consolidation there's still opportunity to push higher and break through!
• Rate cut expectations dim in near term, keep positions light.