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2008年危機的教訓:黃金是否在重複歷史?
在2008年全球金融危機初期,黃金價格曾大幅下跌32%,相當於前一週期漲幅的約40%。然而,在觸及底部後,黃金在短短3年內迎來了令人印象深刻的178%上漲。
目前,黃金交易價格在4,100美元附近,已調整約27%——也大約相當於自2000年以來漲幅的40%。如果歷史重複,類似的復甦可能會將黃金價格推高至11,400美元區間。
儘管過去重複沒有任何保證,但數據表明深幅調整期通常會為長期強勁增長帶來機遇。