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高盛預計,美聯儲6月點陣圖將顯示,
2024年將有兩次降息(低於3月份的三次),
2025年將有四次降息,2026年將有三次降息。
如果5月份的核心CPI處於高位,
2024年的降息預期將變爲一次。
由於財政赤字和強烈的風險情緒,
終端利率可能會保持在中性利率之上。
經濟預期摘要中,
預計2024年核心PCE通脹將升至2.8%。
FOMC聲明和鮑威爾的措辭預計不會有重大變化。
#BTC #比特币 #CPI