HBAR Awakening? 2025 Progress Sets 2026 Price Goal

Hedera now secures more than $5 billion in tokenized commercial real estate and is running live bank pilots for cross-border stablecoin payments, according to a year-end deep dive from research and trading outfit CryptoCharge.

On their “After Hours” show, co-hosts Gavin and Matt — known for a concentrated, fundamentals‑driven approach and a five‑coin core portfolio — spent the entire episode on Hedera’s 2025 trajectory, calling HBAR a network “that will stand the test of time” and one they both actively hold.

HBAR’s Finance: Stablecoins, RWA & Tokenized Collateral

The most substantial developments the hosts highlighted sit in traditional finance.

• AUDD, billed as the first Australian dollar stablecoin natively issued on Hedera, is using Hedera Stablecoin Studio in Asia‑Pacific.
• USDC has also been deployed on Hedera Hashgraph, giving the network one of the two dominant dollar-pegged stablecoins.

On real‑world assets, they pointed to:

• RedSwan: tokenization of commercial real estate, now “over $5 billion tokenized” on Hedera, enabling fractional ownership and global access.
• Archax: a regulated platform issuing and trading tokenized securities and money market funds, with names like Lloyd’s involved for near real‑time collateral and margining in FX derivatives.
• Diamond Standard: standardized diamond collections tokenized via Hedera Token Service for fractional ownership and fast trading.

Matt lingered on Lloyd’s of London as a signal: once those kinds of insurance policies are tokenized, he argued, they can be used as collateral in DeFi pools, effectively turning niche insurance contracts into on‑chain, borrowable assets.

Banks are already experimenting. A stablecoin remittance pilot involving Shinhan Bank, Standard Bank & SCB TechX is using Hedera Token Service for real‑time settlement and FX integration, directly targeting cross‑border payments.

Climate, Data & AI Employs HBAR Network As Audit Layer

The episode also catalogued a cluster of decarbonization and data‑integrity projects:

• B4E / Carbon N2N: digital MRV (measurement, reporting, verification) tools with immutable emissions data and AI‑based forecasting anchored on Hedera.
• Verra integration via Hedera Guardian: “digital‑first” carbon project management and on‑chain methodologies.
• Hyundai Motor Group: immutable carbon emissions tracking on Hedera.

On the data side, the hosts cited:

• Supply‑chain and logistics tracking for consumer goods (including Mondelez‑related efforts).
• EarthID and Neuron: decentralized identity (DID), verifiable credentials, and machine‑to‑machine micropayments.
• A Chainlink integration to provide secure data feeds, proof of reserves, and cross‑chain interoperability.

CBDCs and DIDs were acknowledged as controversial. Both hosts framed them as “inevitable,” arguing the key question is which public networks governments and enterprises choose — and which assets benefit from that flow.

AI was another theme: Hedera is being used for immutable logging of AI agent decisions (Hedera Foundation and Equity Labs) and for verifiable compute tied into Nvidia Blackwell and Intel hardware, using hardware‑rooted attestations to anchor AI operations on‑chain for auditability.

Market View: HBAR Price In “Value Zone,” DCA Back On

From a market perspective, HBAR is down roughly 71% from its December 2024 high and trading between major technical levels the hosts have been watching for over a year.

Matt described a structural “value zone” around $0.08–0.10, referencing multiple historical rejections and support clusters there. A reclaim of roughly $0.12–0.13 would, in his view, signal a more clearly bullish structure.

Using cycle‑wide Fibonacci projections, he mapped potential upside from those levels to:

• ~8–9x at the 1.618 extension
• ~14x at the 2.618
• ~23x at a full extension, under favorable cycle conditions

Gavin disclosed he reactivated his HBAR DCA on November 22, explicitly aiming to make HBAR one of his top two holdings alongside XRP coin by 2026, despite not buying at absolute lows.

Both argued HBAR is now one of the few large‑caps with:

• Live institutional pilots (banks, real estate, insurance)
• A working RWA and stablecoin stack
• ETF exposure via new spot HBAR products they referenced for 2025

They also framed Hedera’s DAG‑based, asynchronous BFT consensus as under‑appreciated compared to conventional blockchains, grouping it alongside Avalanche, Kaspa, and Fantom, but “pushed to the highest use case” in terms of real‑world throughput and institutional interest.

For investors weighing 2026 allocations, the show’s implicit thesis was straightforward: in a cycle where “decentralized asset treasuries” and tokenized collateral may become standard, Hedera has already done much of the unglamorous integration work.

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People Also Ask

Is Hedera being used by real institutions or just in pilots? The hosts cited active tokenization with RedSwan (>$5B CRE), deployments like AUDD and USDC & bank pilots with Shinhan, Standard Bank, and SCB TechX. Some efforts are still framed as pilots or early‑stage, but they are tied to named institutions.

Why do they see HBAR as “here to stay”? Because of the breadth of live use cases (finance, carbon, data, AI), top‑tier partners, and its position as a top‑25 asset by market cap with spot ETFs now available, which they see as a proxy for regulatory and institutional comfort.

How do they view the risk from CBDCs and digital IDs on Hedera? They acknowledge the concerns but consider CBDCs and on‑chain identity unavoidable. Their angle is that Hedera, as a public network, offers verifiability in an environment where trust in governments and institutions is falling.

Where do they rank HBAR versus smaller caps like Kaspa? They treat them as different plays: Kaspa for higher upside and risk, Hedera for institutional adoption and infrastructure. For Gavin’s personal portfolio, HBAR is targeted as a core, top‑two holding.

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