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#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 The three major shifts in the 2026 crypto market: rise of institutions, ETF explosion, and crackdown on stablecoins
Recently, asset management firm Bitwise released a market forecast, and their outlook for the crypto world next year is quite bold—an all-out bull market with institutions taking full control.
**Price Breakouts and Cycle Rebuilding**
Bitcoin is expected to break the traditional four-year cycle pattern next year and directly hit new all-time highs. Interestingly, its volatility is projected to be lower than that of tech giants like Nvidia, indicating that crypto assets are transitioning toward mature assets. Ethereum and Solana are also optimistic about reaching new highs, especially if the US crypto regulation bill (CLARITY Act) passes, which would open up growth opportunities.
**The True Moment for Institutional Capital**
The key insight: various ETFs will heavily buy Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, with purchase volumes expected to exceed 100% of the market’s annual new supply. What does this mean? Institutional demand will absorb all new coins, and retail investors wanting to get in will need to queue in the secondary market for existing supply.
Even more significantly, over half of Ivy League endowment funds will officially allocate to crypto assets, and hundreds of crypto-related ETFs will be listed in the US. The institutional gateway is fully open.
**New Market Ecosystem Outlook**
Beyond mainstream coins, the performance of crypto concept stocks will outperform traditional tech sectors, and on-chain prediction markets will continue to heat up. Another trend to watch is the doubling growth of decentralized on-chain vaults, dubbed "ETF 2.0" by industry insiders. A hidden risk is the increasing global influence of stablecoins, which has begun to raise concerns about the stability of emerging market currencies.
**Core Logic Summary**
In summary: the 2026 forecast depicts an era where institutional capital fully takes over, mainstream asset prices hit new highs, and market infrastructure undergoes deep upgrades. Traditional cycle theories are broken, volatility is tamed, and the focus shifts from "Will it rise?" to "Who can capitalize on this wave of institutional funds?"