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Just caught up with the gold charts and wow, 2025 really was something special. We're sitting around $4,650 now after that insane run, and the ATH actually pushed all the way to $5,640 - way beyond what most people were calling for back in December. Makes you wonder what a gold price forecast for 2030 even looks like at this point.
Looking back at the last five years, it's pretty wild. Gold went from bouncing around $1,800-$1,900 during the COVID mess to basically becoming the best trade of the mid-2020s. The real story isn't just the price though - it's that central banks went nuts accumulating, we had that banking crisis in 2023 that pushed everything above $2,000, and then 2024 was the real breakout year when it hit $2,700. The de-dollarization narrative plus inflation fears just accelerated everything in 2025.
The fundamentals haven't changed much. Central banks are still buying record amounts - we're talking over 1,000 tonnes annually. Real yields are still attractive for gold, and ETF inflows have been massive. The data basically supports a gold price forecast suggesting continued strength, though obviously we're extended here after that $5,640 spike.
Technically, we pulled back from the peak but the trend is still intact. If you're looking at entry points, that $4,350-$4,400 zone is where I'd be watching. RSI cooled off from overbought, which usually means the market is just resetting rather than rolling over. As long as central banks keep buying and debt concerns persist, the macro backdrop for gold stays supportive going forward.