WaterExpoChaos

Today’s Market
Before the US market opens, let’s update today’s situation again... The previous 77k level was near VWAP, and after taking profit at TP2, it moved up and protected its break-even.
Although here, that removable (taken out) secondary high at break-even has been swept through, there are signs of absorption in both spot and futures (see Chart 3).
But before US stocks open, it’s still a 55/45 situation here, so if it happens, we won’t worry about it.
Just peel off a scalp and keep waiting to squat for the next move...
(An example is yesterday: after taking out a big wave of

What happened here at 76.2k...
Whale fight?
A large wave of short orders totaling thousands of BTC was executed... Now there's a buy order hanging again at the same spot?
How much of a needle has the volume profile produced after being traded out?
I don't understand.
Confusing operation today √

Today’s market—another wave coming up..
Today’s CME—originally expected to be 74.5k—was already smashed down to it before the opening..
After CME opened, just as expected, another wave of dumping smashed out an entry point..
( This is also the pattern from the recent period. It mainly shows up on weekends when the price drifts lower or during big sell-offs, causing CME to gap down on Monday—leading some CME overnight long positions to get stopped out with a wave of selling on Monday..）
Subsequently, it rebounded driven by a rebound in US stock futures and by news, but it was still supp

Today’s Market
Figure 1 The order book today is not much different from yesterday
76k saw a new wave of spot sell orders, including quite a large amount of spot orders on Coinbase above 150..
At the same time, from 75k up to above 76k, there are also many open orders..
So the potential observation zone above today is still around 76k..
1. The secondary high point below 76k, where spot orders are eaten up if it drops..
2. A wave of SFP (Short-Forecast-Position) being broken and absorbed, then going down..
3. Continuous buying of spot, forcing a short squeeze upward..
All three

Look at @Vida_BWE's thoughts --- If you are someone with ideas about finance and trading, embrace vibe coding~
Recently, there's been a lot of talk... pushing many former crypto bloggers, and lately, various AI bloggers transitioning...
This actually falls into two categories,
One is those purely chasing traffic... just changing the traffic carrier from web3 to AI... This is the kind mentioned above...
Actually, there's another type—people who already have a mature system in place, and after getting into vibe coding, they become unstoppable...
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Once you've used it, you'll realize th

Today’s Market - Brief Summary
Figure 1 Order Book, still the same as yesterday, with a large number of spot sell orders above 76k... Large contract orders are also around 78k...
Below, the demand zone for orders is at 72-73k (also for contracts)
If there’s a chance for a dip today, this will be an area to watch...
For example, Figure 2
Overall today, still in a state of indecision...
Bullish reasons to continue upward include recent strength from MSTR’s STRC financing tool, which can mobilize billions of dollars at any time, combined with Coinbase’s recent premium and other factor

今日盘面 (上）
今天可以说是主观交易迷惑时刻，未来的剧本太多了....
昨晚就不说了
昨晚就不说了，顶着ETF 2.91亿的净流出在往上突...
宏观，谈判，战争环境有改善么 看着没有啊？
昨天甚至没有获取一下70.4k以下流动性的机会，直接顶着这个非常弱的低点就上去了...
所以说那里难做不是没有原因的...
看看今天吧..
老样子先看订单簿不平衡色带 图1
今天刚插75k下方的时候.. 5%价格范围内的不平衡一度达到卖单是买单的3倍（币安现货） 全网现货卖单是买单的2倍左右.. 算是达到了个阈值，但是也只下来了不到1000点，回踩了一下74k.
而现在在亚盘，买单在下方出现，所以现在不平衡度下降，币安和全网都到2倍.. 所以目前色带消失..
说人话就是，目前这个位置做空的信心下降...
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再看看具体的订单簿 图2
虽然价格在头也不回的往上，但是上面想出货的人只增不减.. 75k~79k 今天亚盘也挂出了大量的卖单，集中在每一个整数关口附近..
而下方的买单分别在现货72.7k开始 合约71.5k开始...
亚盘目前被75k 的200多的现货挂单压制...
这里很难去猜测75k 这个会不会被打掉下去还是突破..
之前的一次，就是被75k压制了几次之后，最终突破..
但是76k就直接没有打掉直接下去...
所以这里没法猜，

Spot trading and contracts are so different...........

CME opens early tomorrow morning....
It's worth waiting for the opportunity in this major range... I've accumulated liquidity for a long time.

Today’s Market Overview
Let’s keep it brief... Running three Claude code conversations at the same time leaves no time for anything else...
Figure 1: Today’s focus range on the order book
Figure 2: Whale chart
There is still a potential target level at 75k (arrival time uncertain)
Figure 3: Still trying to probe the above range...
Figure 4: Liquidity

Today’s Market
Figure 1: On the order book, the prices above are all spot sell orders looking to offload.
In the last line of yesterday, I mentioned that 72k at least wouldn’t hold from last night to this morning, right... Because there are over 300 spot sell orders from Coinbase at 72k. That wave is still ongoing...
Whether it can be absorbed depends on the sentiment in Europe and America...
Currently, there is a large wave of spot sell pressure around 72k, and above that, between 74k and 75k, there’s also a huge wave of spot sell pressure... It takes very good sentiment to push throu

Today’s Market Layout
Figure 1 Order Book Imbalance Ribbon
Actually, over the past couple of days, just looking at the ribbon alone, it seems pretty easy to do... The market is operating along the side with relatively less resistance...
When the 72.7k insertion happened this morning, the 5% spot imbalance reached 4x.. (Sell order quantity is 4 times the buy order quantity) This is also a short-term signal and threshold...
Figure 2 Order Book
What you see on the order book is consistent as well.. After the morning news drove a wave of inserted sell orders, during the sideways conso

The market won't be updated today... No interest in BTC..
Since last week until now, I've been obsessively brainstorming with 4 AIs... Basically refining their ideas once...
I've done similar things before... The only difference is that before, after refining, I didn't follow through with execution...
Now the approach has changed; after refining, I let the AI execute directly...
It seems like a pretty good direction...
I didn't expect to see such satisfying results so quickly...
Continuing with testing...
XAU London pre-market order placements plan...
The rightmost part shows the order placeme

SpaceX is going public soon. Which stocks should you pay attention to in advance?
Pre-bed inspiration series... Focus on a few key ones...

Today’s Market Overview
Figure 1: Currently on the order book, both spot and futures are showing large buy and sell orders around 65~66k and 68~69k.
If there are no unexpected events and non-farm payrolls don’t deviate significantly today, the market might stay within this range until the weekend.
Figure 2: During times when there’s not much big capital movement... the only guiding factor is liquidity... For example, the move to 66.2k in the Asian session this morning.
Why was it so precise there? Because it seems like several levels there have a wave of activity.
So, there’s not much else to

Today’s market overview.
The Asian session early move was still premature.
So let’s continue to observe now. Based on the current situation of gold and US stock futures, everyone is still pricing in the expectation of a ceasefire before the market opens.
Let’s first look at the current situation.
Figure 1: From the order book, after clearing the sell orders around 69k in spot and contracts this morning, the price has now returned to the middle order vacuum zone.
Demand for spot below 67k, while large spot orders above 70k ~ 71k.
At the same time, after the first wave of sell orders

This SFP is worth a try... Combining AVWAP and the POC from the previous decline segment (Figure 1)
69k spot and 68.8-68.9k contract sell orders are suppressing... (Figure 2)
Liquidity is between 68.5k and 69k, with SFP taking half...
By the way, all the large stop-loss orders on Hyperliquid have been hit (Figure 3)
At the same time, during the decline segment, there is a large long position trapped zone at 69k (Figure 4)