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Today at 21:30 Beijing time, the US December PCE data will be released, especially the Core PCE, which is the Fed's gauge of inflation. Every time the Fed mentions 2%, they are referring to the Core PCE (annualized) reaching 2%. Therefore, the Core PCE data is important as it represents the trend of inflation in the US. The lower the Core PCE figure, the more Favourable Information it is for the market, as it may increase the number of interest rate cuts by the Fed.
This is a prerequisite, but in fact, for the Federal Reserve, inflation, labor, and the economy are all factors that need to be c
BTC0.34%
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The following is the price movement of Crypto Assets after the last five speeches by Powell:
1. August 23, 2024 Speech: Market expectations suggest that Powell may hint at a rate cut. After the speech, Bitcoin briefly touched the $65,000 level but then retraced. In the early hours of August 28, Bitcoin fell below the $58,000 level, with an intraday decline of over 7%. Ethereum also temporarily fell below $2,400, reaching a low of $2,388, with an intraday decline of over 9%.
2. November 14, 2024 speech: Powell made a hawkish speech, emphasizing the determination to control inflation and not rus
BTC0.34%
ETH0.5%
XRP-0.19%
SOL-0.76%
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Today, let's update the analysis and trading suggestions for BTC and Ethereum:
🫓Yesterday, it retraced to around 97,680, is this the end of the wave 2 correction? We still need to observe the strength of the rebound. On January 25th, I mentioned that the overall structure of the five waves has not been completed. Now, either wave 1 is over and wave 2 correction is underway, or wave 2 is over and wave 3 is ready for an uptrend.
Talking about the adjustment form of the W-wave, there are two possibilities: one is a short dip, forming a triangle structure, not falling below 101,000, and then risi
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ETH0.5%
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Currently, the price of Bitcoin is around 105,000. From the overall structure, Bitcoin is in the pump phase of the fifth wave. Since the launch at $48,888, the first three waves have been completed, and the first wave of the fifth wave has ended, entering the consolidation phase of the second wave. After the completion of the second wave, the pump of the third wave will be opened, and the amplitude of the third wave usually exceeds 20%, which is a worth-catching trend.
During the consolidation of the 52-wave, the current structure may form some combined patterns, such as wxy, where the y-wave
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ETH0.5%
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Tonight I've been watching the US stock market and found that the current sentiment is very positive, and has not been affected by the yen interest rate hedge sentiment. Historically, the period 24 to 48 hours before is relatively dangerous. The recent pump in the past two days is very likely due to Trump's announcement of a substantial investment in AI. After the opening, Nvidia pumped by 5%, Microsoft also pumped by 3%, and the market sentiment in the US AI sector is still good.
The only good news in the cryptocurrency field from the power handover to now is the SEC's framework reorganizatio
TRUMP1.55%
BTC0.34%
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MyHeartToTheMoonvip:
Ninety percent of Japan's interest rates increased!
Did you play Trump's wife's B?
TRUMP1.55%
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In my personal opinion, the number of people who should buy this Token from Trump has already bought it, so the possibility of a large-scale Build a Position is not high. There is a high probability that retail investors will buy a small amount as witnesses to history, but it may not have a lasting damaging effect.
Currently, judging from the price of #BTC 和 SOL, BTC has almost recovered from the bloodsucking of $TRUMP, and more and more investors are buying in. After all, BTC is a high certainty asset that can increase in value. Secondly, the rise of $SOL has once again fueled the meme of th
TRUMP1.55%
TOKEN3.53%
BTC0.34%
SOL-0.76%
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True story. When I was typing just now, I looked a bit serious. The girl next to me suddenly asked if I lost money. I said no. Not only did I not lose money, but I also made a little profit. However, someone else made a hundred million, and I only made a few hundred yuan, which makes me feel a bit uncomfortable.
The girl told me, what are you upset about? Other people's fathers are Bill Gates, aren't you even more upset? (The girl is not from the cryptocurrency circle and thinks that the richest person is Bill Gates). You should be happy when you make money. Although you only made a few hundre
LADYS-2.46%
XTZ1.24%
BTC0.34%
ETH0.5%
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Last time BTC closed a 12-hour Bearish line from 102,000, and then dumped all the way back to $90,000.
Today I am more cautious, the normal technical support is 98000 and 97000, I am afraid that the dog will follow the previous trend.
Ethereum is also normal support at 3280 and 3220. I'm afraid of the possibility of a repeat of the previous trend by the dog market.
Wait and see first, and then get on the car when it stabilizes.
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ETH0.5%
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There are too many messy things happening this week, especially the CPI data, which will trigger investor risk aversion. Many friends are talking about the interest rate meeting in Japan, don't scare yourself. Japan's Interest Rate will be on January 24th, which is unrelated to this week. The CPI is the one that will have an impact this week.
The current US dollar index has reached 110. The general market sentiment is not good. The US stock market has not opened yet. Let's see the reaction of American investors after the market opens. It is estimated that it will not be particularly optimistic
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ETH0.5%
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#BTC Long and short liquidation points today
Long liquidation price:
93732, 93132, 92532, 91932, 90732-90132 (Final settlement interval for bulls)
Short Liquidation Point:
95232, 95832, 96432, 97032, 98232-98832 (final liquidation period for shorts)
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Non-farm payrolls increased by 256,000 in December, well above the expected 160,000, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. The U.S. job market performed strongly.
After the data release, traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates once in 2025, with the earliest rate cut possible in June.
The strong performance of the US job market has brought the attention of the Federal Reserve back to inflation now.
Next, attention needs to be paid to the December CPI data to be announced next Wednesday.
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The thing is this:
On Tuesday, there was a significant increase in job vacancies. Wow, the US economy is so strong. The Federal Reserve will not increase interest rates. Risk appetite is decreasing, so I'm out.
Wednesday, MD, hedging.
On Thursday, MD, safe haven.
Friday morning. Wait, Bloomberg said the unemployment rate would rise to 4.4%, and then the number of employed people would continue to increase. This is obviously good news. The Fed will consider increasing the number of interest rate cuts, and the economy is not declining. Good news, go in.
Friday, evening. I X your XX Labor Statist
X-5.68%
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The downside risk has not been relieved, and the medium term direction will continue to seek support at lower levels in the next week.
Even if you take it out now, you probably won't be able to stand firm. In the future, you can't just go long. Shorting is also a very good option, but shorting requires a little bit of skill. You can't short the floor, only short on rebounds.
There are currently two approaches: first, go up and short around 99,000, and the risk control point is to stop loss only if the 12-hour closing price is above 100,000.
Second, take a short-term long position when it falls
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January 7th Pancake Market Analysis
Intraday resistance above 104500-105500
Support below 100,000-101,000
After a 4-hour K-line surge, it did not quickly regain the gains, but continued to maintain a high-level oscillating rhythm. The bullish trend remains, although the hourly line has provided a retracement action, the intensity is not great. The 100,000-101,000 area below has shown some support signs, and it is expected that after the pullback adjustment, the bullish trend will continue to extend further.
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xrp, 4H follow the upper resistance level, it is expected to have a wave of upward space after successfully breaking through
XRP-0.19%
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Upper pressure 3840-3870 within the day
Support below 3600-3570
On the technical indicators, both DIF and DEA are positive values, and DIF is slightly higher than DEA, indicating the current bullish market. However, the MACD histogram shows a weakening momentum. In the subsequent market, attention should be paid to the support strength of the lower line for retracement repair. Effective support will further push the market up.
ETH0.5%
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zone rotating, the altcoin season is coming, the following leading coins can be followed closely, among them MEME zone has been cashed out.
1. MEME coin zone shib, doge, pepe, floki, doge, bonk
2. AI zone agix, fet, wld, ai, nmr
3. Public chain zone eth, sol, matic, ftm, ada, avax, dot, atom
4. 2024 halving zone bch, bsv, zec, zen, btg
5. Gamefizone sand, mana, gala, enj, ron, pixel, ace, ilv, magic
6. Oracle zone link, api3, trb, pyth
7. Payment concept zone mob, ach, xlm, celo
8. 銘文zone ordi,rats,sats
9. Store zone fil, ar, storj, blz
10. defizone aave, comp, rdnt, crv, mkr, avax, dydx
11.
MEME0.97%
DOGE0.48%
PEPE-1.48%
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