Analysis: Hedge funds shift to risk aversion before rate cuts; on-chain data suggests BTC may "rise first, then fall"

2025-12-10 10:04:37

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Deep Tide TechFlow News, December 10 — According to the latest research by XWIN Research Japan, institutional investors are actively adjusting their positions ahead of the December FOMC meeting. On-chain data shows that BTC balances on major exchanges are decreasing, while USDT and USDC reserves are increasing, indicating that institutions are reducing risk exposure and accumulating stablecoins.

The research points out that this pattern is similar to the period from August to October 2025: funding rates surged before the FOMC meeting and dropped sharply after the announcement, while Bitcoin prices peaked and then declined. Currently, CME futures open interest is stagnant, and large spot holdings remain stable, further confirming that professional funds are preparing for volatility.

Analysts advise investors not to blindly chase rebounds before the meeting, but to manage risks in advance, as market volatility around the FOMC often sharply increases.

BTC-1,92%

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