While XRP has struggled with the rest of the crypto market, analyst EGRAG shows its linear regression model still points to bullish long-term targets.
Specifically, after a strong showing in July 2025, when it rallied by an impressive 35% to cross the $3 mark, XRP slipped into a bearish position the following months, collapsing by as much as 8.15% in August to lose the $3 mark. Despite a slight 2.55% recovery in September, XRP has maintained a downward trend since then.
Today, the crypto asset is down nearly 45% from its July 2025 peak, currently trading for $2.02, as the bears battle to flip the $2 level from support to resistance. Despite this recent downtrend, EGRAG Crypto has maintained his long-term bullish stance, as he continues to take data from chart structures.
XRP’s Interaction with the Regression Channel
It then places two parallel lines above and below that trend at equal distances, often based on price volatility. Notably, the center line shows the market’s average value, while the upper and lower lines serve as moving resistance and support levels.
Notably, data from EGRAG’s monthly chart shows that XRP slipped below the lower trendline of the channel during the contagion from the Terra collapse in May 2022 and remained underneath the channel until November 2024, when the Trump-led rally pushed prices toward $2.
XRP Regression Channel | EGRAG CryptoXRP slipped into the channel in December 2024 and January 2025. However, with the retracement in February 2025 and the price struggles throughout this year, XRP has again slipped below the lower trendline, currently battling to re-enter the channel
Three Important XRP Price Levels
According to EGRAG, there are three important price targets for XRP if the crypto asset overcomes bearish pressure and pushes into the linear regression channel. Notably, each price target aligns with a level within the regression channel.
Specifically, the first price level sits around the January 2025 high of $3.4, aligning with the lower trendline. EGRAG referred to the $3.4 mark as the mean reversion, noting that if XRP ever attempts to claim this area but faces rejection, this will represent one of its strongest bearish indicators. However, if XRP closes above this region, it will have entered bullish territory.
Meanwhile, the next price level rests on $10, representing the upper midline or two standard deviations above the regression midline (+2D). EGRAG believes XRP would witness full expansion at this point. Nonetheless, he confirmed that the price level in this area typically rises due to the logarithmic nature of the chart.
Importantly, the most bullish level is around $27, which marks the top of the channel. This area represents a 1,236% increase from XRP’s current price. According to EGRAG, several long-term confluences also lead to this $27. Last month, he suggested that XRP could follow two paths from the prevailing position, but both paths would still lead to the $27 price.
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