Market Analysis

Key Insights: HBAR’s price surged due to the ongoing crypto rally and a significant partnership with FedEx, a major logistics player. Despite the recent gains, HBAR faces challenges, including stagnant growth in its DeFi ecosystem and declining ETF demand. Technical analysis shows that HBA

Bitcoin has recently shown weak performance, and many investors are curious about "where the bottom really is." Analytical firm CryptoQuant points out that the "ultimate bottom" of this Bitcoin bear market is around $55,000. However, the market is still several months away from "completing the bottom formation," and it may take repeated testing; it won't be over with just one "panic sell-off" or "capitulation." Key Indicator 1: The "Realized Price" Support Level Has Not Been Broken CryptoQuant states that Bitcoin's "Realized Price (the average cost of all Bitcoins last moved on the market)" has almost always served as a long-term price support zone during previous bear markets. Therefore, it is considered an important reference for the "ultimate bottom." CryptoQuant indicates that Bitcoin is currently about 25% above its realized price. In past bear markets, such as during the FTX collapse,

Robert Kiyosaki draws attention to his stock market crash prediction. He expects the price of crypto to surge soon.  As a Greater Depression approaches, he encourages accumulating real assets. The prices of crypto assets are trading at much lower prices as compared to Q4 2025. Despite th

Global Bitcoin market sentiment is increasingly divided, with Wall Street institutional investors remaining bullish, but funds outside the United States are withdrawing noticeably. The premium on CME futures trading is higher than on Deribit, indicating that American institutions still have a strong risk appetite. Recently, Bitcoin has been affected by concerns over quantum computing technology, but its actual performance has declined in tandem with related companies, reflecting a cooling of market risk appetite for long-term assets.

Analysts predict that a substantial Tax Refund season in the U.S. could inject up to $150 billion into the economy, potentially boosting investments in Bitcoin and other assets. While this influx might revive risk-taking among investors, market conditions differ from previous years, affecting overall impact.

Stablecoins are finding a mainstream way in the Asian region at a time when cryptocurrencies are going through volatility. Stablecoins are being preferred for low fluctuations and easy conversions. Top cryptocurrencies, BTC and ETH, are demonstrating very high volatility. Markets in general

MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor states the crypto market is in a "crypto winter," marking Bitcoin's fifth major downturn. He predicts a milder and shorter cycle due to institutional support and a pro-Bitcoin U.S. administration, ensuring a future recovery.

Bitcoin futures open interest has dropped 55% since October 2025, down to $44 billion, indicating bearish market sentiment and decreased trader participation. Institutions have reduced their positions in response to price pressure, and hedging sentiment has generally increased. Despite volatility, long-term holders continue to accumulate Bitcoin, demonstrating market resilience. Analysts predict a potential bottoming out and rebound.

Willy Woo states that the Bitcoin bear market can be divided into three stages: the first stage is liquidity collapse and price decline; the second stage is the global stock market entering a bear market; the third stage is liquidity improving and the final sell-off occurring. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching the second stage.

In 2025, 85% of newly launched tokens are trading below their debut prices amid declining VC returns and a significant drop in new crypto fund creation. This shift urges projects to focus on sustainable growth instead of merely chasing investment hype.

Ripple (XRP) experienced a slight correction at the time of writing on Wednesday, retreating from the daily opening level of $1.48, amid a cautious sentiment still prevailing across the entire cryptocurrency market. Currently, a short-term support zone is gradually forming around the $1.45 mark. However, the pressure

Crypto’s next leg may be stronger than skeptics think as structural growth, institutional adoption, and regulatory tailwinds reshape the market cycle, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says, arguing today’s foundation looks nothing like past downturns. ‘Optimistic’ Matt Hougan Says Crypto Collapse Fears

Five altcoins recorded near 60% weekly gains, concentrating momentum within a narrow group. Price advances showed sustained volume, indicating structured trading activity. Performance remained synchronized across DeFi and meme-based tokens. Altcoin markets recorded s

Dogecoin is experiencing a bullish surge, nearing $0.10 due to a strong RSI and increased trading volume. Its market cap dominance over Bitcoin Cash has been restored, driven by Bitcoin's rise and positive market sentiment. Continued buying pressure is essential for sustained growth.

Joseph Lubin expressed an optimistic view of the crypto market in an interview, believing that the continued development of the digital asset economy relies more on functionality than speculation. He emphasized Ethereum's practicality and its importance in financial infrastructure, noting its gradual deepening in institutional participation, which reflects confidence in Ethereum's long-term potential.

Foresight News reports that Wintermute stated, "The road to a crypto market recovery depends on the clarity of macroeconomic conditions. The 200-week moving average still provides support, and the lack of structural damage means that when the recovery occurs, the rebound could be stronger than market sentiment suggests. Currently, we are in a range-bound and downward trend, with leverage factors dominating short-term market movements. Recently, $70,000 remains a resistance level. A recovery in the second half of 2026 is possible, but to achieve this, most participants will need to have exhausted their patience."

BlockBeats News, February 18 — According to Alternative Data, today’s cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is 8 (yesterday was 10), indicating an intensification of the market’s "Extreme Fear" sentiment. Note: The Fear and Greed Index threshold is 0-100, composed of the following indicators: Volatility (25%) + Market Trading Volume (25%) + Social Media Buzz (15%) + Market Surveys (15%) + Bitcoin’s Market Share (10%) + Google Search Trends (10%).

Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor told billionaire Ray Dalio to own bitcoin after the billionaire warned the post-World War II global order is breaking down, positioning the cryptocurrency as a shield against mounting geopolitical and financial instability. Dalio Flags Cracks in Global

Just last week, Bitcoin experienced a thrilling "Raging Bull" rally, dropping over 10% in a single day and nearly breaching the $60,000 mark. Although it then rebounded strongly back to around $70,000, has this rapid sell-off already constituted a so-called "capitulation sell-off"? That is, investors panic and sell at a loss, completely releasing selling pressure and paving the way for the next bull market. However, from the perspective of the derivatives market, the answer is probably no. According to Amberdata Derivatives Director Greg Magadini's observations, the signals from the futures market suggest that Bitcoin may still have further downside potential. In his market report on Monday, Greg Magadini pointed out that during this decline, the futures basis (the difference between futures and spot prices) reacted noticeably cold, without the sharp changes often seen in bear markets. He said: <continue with the rest of the translated content>