Crypto Macro News and Global Policy Updates

ChainCatcher message, according to Gate market data, before the US stock market opens, some leading technology stocks are rallying, with NVIDIA (NVDA.O), Micron Technology (MU.O), and Meta Platforms (META.O) all rising more than 1%.

Arthur Hayes warns that the recent divergence between Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100 tech stocks signals a potential AI-driven credit crisis, prompting central banks to resume large-scale money printing. He argues Bitcoin acts as a liquidity indicator and predicts consumer debt defaults if 20% of US knowledge workers lose jobs, resulting in significant credit losses. Hayes anticipates regional banks will face immediate pressure, leading to a credit freeze and a Fed response that could push Bitcoin to new highs. His company may also invest in altcoins Zcash and Hyperliquid when the Fed changes its policy.

Universa Investments founder Mark Spitznagel warns that the S&P 500 could surge to 8,000 points but then face a sharp crash. He points out that the current market is nearing the end of the bubble and advises investors to prepare for a potential 80% correction while remaining rational and not being swayed by market sentiment.

Despite a 46% drop in Bitcoin prices, Bitcoin ETFs only experienced a modest net outflow of $8.5 billion, mainly due to market makers and arbitrage hedge funds holding non-directional positions. In BlackRock's IBIT, 55-75% of the assets are still held by these institutions, reflecting a decline in speculative and arbitrage demand.

Robert Kiyosaki draws attention to his stock market crash prediction. He expects the price of crypto to surge soon.  As a Greater Depression approaches, he encourages accumulating real assets. The prices of crypto assets are trading at much lower prices as compared to Q4 2025. Despite th

Global Bitcoin market sentiment is increasingly divided, with Wall Street institutional investors remaining bullish, but funds outside the United States are withdrawing noticeably. The premium on CME futures trading is higher than on Deribit, indicating that American institutions still have a strong risk appetite. Recently, Bitcoin has been affected by concerns over quantum computing technology, but its actual performance has declined in tandem with related companies, reflecting a cooling of market risk appetite for long-term assets.

Analysts predict that a substantial Tax Refund season in the U.S. could inject up to $150 billion into the economy, potentially boosting investments in Bitcoin and other assets. While this influx might revive risk-taking among investors, market conditions differ from previous years, affecting overall impact.

Stablecoins are finding a mainstream way in the Asian region at a time when cryptocurrencies are going through volatility. Stablecoins are being preferred for low fluctuations and easy conversions. Top cryptocurrencies, BTC and ETH, are demonstrating very high volatility. Markets in general

Abu Dhabi's Mubadala and Al Warda significantly boosted their Bitcoin ETF holdings in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust, surpassing $1 billion despite market downturns. This reflects growing institutional interest in regulated crypto investments as part of economic diversification strategies.

Bitcoin futures open interest has dropped 55% since October 2025, down to $44 billion, indicating bearish market sentiment and decreased trader participation. Institutions have reduced their positions in response to price pressure, and hedging sentiment has generally increased. Despite volatility, long-term holders continue to accumulate Bitcoin, demonstrating market resilience. Analysts predict a potential bottoming out and rebound.

Willy Woo states that the Bitcoin bear market can be divided into three stages: the first stage is liquidity collapse and price decline; the second stage is the global stock market entering a bear market; the third stage is liquidity improving and the final sell-off occurring. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching the second stage.

The latest documents for BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) show that Laurore Ltd has become the largest new holder, with an estimated holding of approximately $436 million, and Jane Street is the second-largest holder. Laurore Ltd currently has no official website or publicly available background.

ChainCatcher reports that the ETF will provide investors with a direct investment opportunity in SUI, including its potential staking rewards. It is reported that the historical average annual return for Sui staking rewards is between 1.7% and 3.3%.

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Farside monitoring, the US Bitcoin spot ETF experienced a net outflow of $105 million, with BlackRock IBIT seeing a net outflow of $119.7 million, and Grayscale BTC experiencing a net inflow of $36 million.

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Farside monitoring, the US Ethereum spot ETF has a net inflow of $48.6 million, with BlackRock's ETHA net inflow of $22.9 million and Grayscale ETH net inflow of $11.3 million.

Yesterday, the total daily net inflow of SOL spot ETFs reached $2,193,800, of which Bitwise Solana Staking ETF had a daily net inflow of $1,695,300, with a total net inflow of $684 million. Fidelity Solana Fund ETF had a daily net inflow of $498,500, with a total net inflow of $159 million. Currently, the total net asset value of SOL spot ETFs is $726 million.

Japan's three major securities giants plan to enter the cryptocurrency trading space, with the largest one, Nomura Holdings, set to provide services by 2026. Market expectations suggest Tokyo will relax restrictions on crypto ETFs, boosting demand for crypto investments.