Data shows: You need to hold Bitcoin for at least three years to avoid losses

PANews February 28 News, according to Cointelegraph, a Bitwise analysis reviewed Bitcoin’s price history from July 17, 2010, to February 11, 2026, and concluded: if you hold Bitcoin for at least three years, the probability of loss drops to just 0.70%. Holding for more than three years further reduces the risk of loss: 0.2% for five years and 0% for ten years. Traders with less than three years of holding time face higher risks of loss, for example, intraday traders have a 47.1% chance of loss.

Although Bitcoin has fallen about 50% from its October 2025 peak and is currently trading around $65,000, it remains well above its 3- to 5-year realized price of $34,780, meaning investors who bought and held during this period still enjoy approximately 90% profit. Most traders who bought in the past two years are in loss, with a cost basis of about $101,250 for holdings of 6 to 12 months, with an unrealized loss of about 35%; for holdings of 1 to 2 years, the cost basis is approximately $78,150, with an unrealized loss of about 15%.