Prediction Market

Prediction market platform Opinion announced the launch of a 50% Maker rebate mechanism, where market makers can receive half of the trading fees as rewards after orders are executed, with payments in USDT on a daily basis. This program can be stacked with the existing Maker Liquidity Points program, and higher rebate tiers will be available in the future, reaching up to 60%, requiring the locking of $OPN tokens. This move aims to attract more liquidity as competition with competitor Polymarket intensifies.

Gate News: On March 13, prediction market platform Opinion announced the launch of a liquidity incentive mechanism. Effective immediately, the platform will allocate 50% of the transaction fees from each successful trade to users providing liquidity for that order, aiming to incentivize liquidity provision and optimize market depth. This mechanism is designed to attract more liquidity providers to participate in market making and further enhance overall market activity.

Gate News reported that on March 13, Polymarket prediction market data shows the probability of betting that "Based FDV will break through $100 million within 1 day of launch" has decreased to 45%. Additionally, the probability of breaking through $200 million within 1 day of launch is 19%, and the probability of breaking through $300 million within 1 day of launch is 7%. The trading volume for this prediction event has already exceeded $3 million.

Anthony Scaramucci expressed strong confidence in Bitcoin, stating it's his largest investment. He predicts it could reach gold's value, potentially hitting $1.5 million per coin in 10-15 years. Tim Draper also forecasts significant Bitcoin price increases, emphasizing its limited supply.

Gate News reports that on March 13, the Polymarket prediction market event "Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire before March 31, 2026?" saw the probability of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before the end of March drop to 2%. The market recorded approximately $355,000 in 24-hour trading volume, with total trading volume reaching $24.726 million. While this event probability had previously surged, it has continued to decline this month, even as trading volume has expanded. Mainstream traders still view a near-term Russia-Ukraine ceasefire as an extremely low-probability event.

Gate News reported that on March 13, in Oscar Best Actor predictions, Michael B. Jordan's winning probability rose to 58%, while Timothée Chalamet fell to 32%. The 98th Academy Awards ceremony will be held on March 15, with fierce competition for the Best Actor award.

Gate News, on March 13, as Bitcoin broke through $71,000, Polymarket prediction market data shows that the probability of Bitcoin rising to $75,000 in March increased to 63%. Additionally, the probability of rising to $80,000 is 32%, and the probability of falling to $65,000 is 46%.