#以太坊行情解读 Global central bank policies are experiencing a rare misalignment. Japan has been holding back for thirty years, and now it’s about to take real action—market expectations for rate hikes are soaring to 0.75%, the highest since 1995. At the same time, the Federal Reserve is still weighing the pace of rate cuts, but its stance is becoming increasingly ambiguous. This level of policy divergence is enough to turn the global liquidity pool upside down.



The currency markets are the first to feel the impact. The yen faces immense upward pressure, and major Asian currencies are under stress. More importantly, historical patterns suggest that after Japan raises rates three times, Bitcoin typically experiences a 20%-30% correction within 4 to 6 weeks. Signs of this trend are already emerging, with a clear downward movement from recent highs.

But here’s a key turning point. A closer look at the underlying logic of the crypto market shows that Bitcoin has long been regarded by Wall Street as a “liquidity barometer.” The real influence always remains with the Federal Reserve. Once a loose monetary cycle is firmly established, massive capital inflows are inevitable.

From another perspective, the more turbulent the market, the more hidden opportunities there are. Core assets like $BTC and $ETH must be held tightly. Meanwhile, use small positions to capture those ecosystem tokens with clear narratives and strong community consensus. Innovations within the Ethereum ecosystem are especially worth tracking—these assets often deliver unexpected gains during cycles of liquidity expectation reversal.

Would love to hear your thoughts: how big of a chain reaction do you think Japan’s move will trigger? Are you planning to hold steady or actively take action? Let’s discuss in the comments.
BTC1,41%
ETH0,95%
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RektRecordervip
· 2025-12-19 11:14
As for Japan's interest rate hike, I actually don't expect much short-term movement. After all, the Federal Reserve is the real decision-maker, and while historical patterns look promising, reality often proves otherwise. Instead of obsessing over the 20-30% correction, it's better to focus on when dollar liquidity will truly loosen — that's what really matters. Holding onto BTC and ETH is correct, but don't be fooled by the "unexpectedly high gains" of ecosystem tokens; most of it is just narrative hype.
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MagicBeanvip
· 2025-12-18 23:21
Japan really can't hold it anymore. The interest rate hike that's been suppressed for thirty years, I bet five bucks the Federal Reserve will mess up.
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TrustMeBrovip
· 2025-12-17 13:58
Japan is finally about to move, and this game is interesting... But to be honest, the Federal Reserve has the real decision-making power, and we still have to watch Powell's face.
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PretendingSeriousvip
· 2025-12-17 13:56
The 30 years of accumulated rate hikes, and the Federal Reserve is still hesitating... The comparison this time is truly outrageous. Japan's move has reshuffled the global liquidity landscape.
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DeFiChefvip
· 2025-12-17 13:55
The recent rate hike in Japan is indeed a bit hard to sustain, but I think the hype is too much. Historical patterns, when they clash with the Fed's rhythm, just get completely thrown off. Let's wait until the Fed actually loosens its stance before making any judgments.
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SmartContractPlumbervip
· 2025-12-17 13:45
The Japanese rate hike is a historical pattern, but this time it's very different—it's all about when the Federal Reserve will actually ease. However, I must say, this article has a logical flaw, oversimplifying the chain reaction caused by Japan's rate hike. Liquidity is never one-way; who holds the control over permissions is crucial. Instead of guessing how much turbulence this might cause, I'm more concerned about whether the contracts of those ecosystem tokens during this decline have been audited. I've seen too many projects where, during liquidity crunches, the permission controls of the underlying contracts are exposed—reentrancy vulnerabilities, integer overflows, a bunch of fundamental issues. Holding onto BTC is fine, but before trying to scoop up those "narrative-clear" ecosystem tokens, you need to check if their code has undergone proper audits. I am willing to take proactive action, but only if I thoroughly identify and assess every risk point in each contract upgrade.
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BrokeBeansvip
· 2025-12-17 13:44
The story of Japan raising interest rates... It feels like the Federal Reserve is the real puppet master behind the scenes. Let's just wait and see when the easing cycle will truly take effect.
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ProbablyNothingvip
· 2025-12-17 13:41
How long can Japan's recent rate hike last? It feels like the historical patterns are a bit overfitted... The Federal Reserve is really the true ruler.
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