【December 18 Market Briefing】
The latest joint survey results from the Federal Reserve show that tariffs remain a significant concern for businesses. Analysts generally expect that next year's inflation rate could reach 4%. More importantly, Fed Chair Powell recently signaled a dovish stance—current monetary policy remains restrictive, and there is room for rate cuts. In terms of interest rates, current levels are 50-100 basis points above the neutral rate, and with the robust employment market, these factors support the Fed's continued easing cycle.
This dovish tone immediately impacted the m

Wednesday's global markets were quite mixed. The US dollar index initially rebounded and broke through 98.6 during European trading, but then started to lag behind, ultimately closing up only 0.18% at 98.39. On the US debt side, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was set at 4.163%, while the 2-year Treasury was at 3.493%. These two figures are still quite significant for those tracking Federal Reserve movements.
Precious metals took the spotlight this week. Spot gold once surged back near the 4340 USD level, though it later experienced sharp volatility, ending with a small red candle, up 0.84%,

December 18th, a flurry of events in the global financial markets—this day truly packed with information.
In the morning, the domestic release of November SWIFT RMB payment share data, while the Ministry of Commerce held its regular briefing simultaneously. At the same time, Trump delivered a national speech, and market participants need to closely monitor his statements for potential emotional volatility.
The evening was the main event. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank announced their interest rate decisions in succession; the US released key economic data including November

Looking at the recent market trends, it seems that the market is already pricing in various negative expectations in advance. Take Solana as an example; it has already dropped nearly 15%. Based on this logic, by the 19th, the market fluctuations shouldn't be particularly intense. I personally estimate there's a 60% chance it will move upward. After all, cryptocurrencies are inherently high-risk, high-reward assets—learning as we go is the norm in our circle. As long as we keep a proper mindset, opportunities are always present amidst the volatility.

The recent "$230 million long whale" that has attracted attention seems to be in trouble. According to on-chain data tracking, this major holder has not added to their position in the past two days and still holds nearly $700 million in long positions. The problem is that as the market continues to decline, their unrealized losses have expanded to $73.18 million — a significant figure.
Specifically, the main holdings of this whale are as follows:
On ETH, holding 191,000 coins (worth $540 million), opened at $3,167, with unrealized losses reaching $64.28 million, and a liquidation price set at

#大户持仓动态 The recent market trend remains bearish. From a technical perspective, if it drops, the first line of defense is around 8.5, and the second support level is near 8.4. Currently, the market is oscillating repeatedly, making it easy to be shaken out.
For friends who want to participate, here are some tips: avoid using high leverage to chase the market, and don't over-allocate your positions. In this kind of market, leverage is essentially gambling on luck and can be quickly wiped out during nighttime price swings.
What is a relatively safer strategy? Dollar-cost averaging into spot hold

#数字资产市场洞察 Market Log Day 223｜Last night, US stocks plunged, and the crypto market experienced instant long and short liquidations. Moments like these are the ultimate test of mental resilience. Honestly, being shaken out during such volatility is tough— but this might be exactly what the market wants. Hold onto your chips, deploy in batches, and be prepared to catch these "needles" — that’s the right approach.
$BTC surged to 90 on the 1-hour chart, then turned back down to 86. This is the true reflection of the market — intense volatility. Trying to shake off retail investors with this kind of

#数字资产市场洞察 December 18 Morning Trend Analysis: Technical Outlook Bearish
The current market is trading below all key moving averages, forming a predominantly bearish structure, with obvious selling pressure. From the hourly chart, the MACD indicator continues to weaken below the zero line, while RSI is approaching oversold territory but lacks a clear sign of a reversal. The rebound appears weak, and selling pressure remains dominant.
Bitcoin Strategy Suggestion: Short within the 86400-87200 range, watch for support levels at 85200-84000.
Ethereum Strategy Suggestion: Short within the 2840-2860

$FOLKS In the crypto world, surviving honestly depends not on some profound theory, but on turning anti-human nature into a conditioned reflex.
Risk control is discussed in technical books, but in real combat, only one thing truly matters: establishing a mechanism to suppress greed and fear in your heart.
At its core, trading boils down to three words: don’t act recklessly.
Why do most people lose money? They all fall into the same trap:
The market rises thirty points, thinking it can keep soaring, but a correction brings it back to the break-even point; then they start finding reasons "it wil

#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 This wave of market movement has indeed been very precisely controlled, and neither bulls nor bears are able to make a profit. Every time I want to turn things around and break even, I need to keep up with the rhythm and listen to what traders are saying. The recent trends of $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB all show this sense of being carefully orchestrated.
The unexpected non-farm payroll data just broke the previous expectations, and the market reaction followed accordingly. To find opportunities in such an environment, the key is still to understand the market's rhythm.

#数字资产市场洞察 Why do some people keep failing in crypto assets? Ultimately, it's a strategy issue. The market rhythm is actually quite clear; the key is to seize the opportunity. $BTC $ETH $SOL The trend patterns of mainstream coins like these are very strong. To gain an advantage in this round of market, accurately timing the entry is the key to victory. Getting in early often allows you to avoid the risk of chasing prices higher than most people. Guesswork won't work; you need to rely on data and logic.

#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Gold Midnight Market Analysis: Currently, this wave of the market is a bit stuck; the 4350-4360 level is indeed quite tough to break through. Plus, the previous high at 4360 is still pressing down on us, so it’s not easy to push higher in the short term. Those trapped in positions want to cut losses, longs want to take profits, and shorts are also positioning — three groups of funds are all congested here, creating enormous pressure.
To put it simply, if the gold price cannot break through this range, the funds that need to exit will start to run, and the downward momentum will

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 Once you've identified the opportunity, take action. Don't be soft when it's time to cut losses—this is the basic rule of survival.
Strategies should be adhered to, but not rigidly dogmatic. What is the true bottom line? Not being emotionally hijacked. Greed makes it easiest to fall into traps, and panic makes it easier to cut losses.
By deeply engaging in this market, you'll gradually understand: the opportunities in $XRP, $ETH, $ZEC and these coins are reserved for those who are both passionate and sufficiently calm. Being able to withstand volatility, persist in obse

I just saw the viral case in the group about "3 million stablecoins disappearing overnight," and I immediately closed the market app. Instead of watching the K-line for ups and downs, it's better to take seriously this recurring nightmare in the crypto world. There are no hacks or advanced techniques involved; it all comes down to a simple mnemonic sharing incident, which wiped out a million-dollar fortune.
Many people discuss this by focusing on superficial reasons like "family disputes" or "operational mistakes," but after eight years of navigating the crypto market, I want to say: once the

#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 December 17 Wednesday Market Summary
Good evening everyone. Today’s market continued to oscillate at high levels, and evening sharp drops have become the norm, but this doesn’t mean there are no opportunities—profit can still be found within daytime fluctuations. Big trends mean eating meat, small fluctuations mean sipping soup; the key is to learn how to distinguish.
Last night, after the US non-farm payroll data was released, the market initially sold off as expected, then rebounded. I caught both waves. Today’s main strategy is to stay short; I opened three short positions,

A large on-chain whale caused a storm on a derivatives platform: using 1.2 million USDT as margin, they opened a long position of 8,300 ETH with 25x leverage, with a total position value exceeding $12.9 million. This trade hangs in the balance—liquidation price set at $2,720, while the current ETH price is $2,926. Just a 7.5% drop, and this massive position will be liquidated instantly.
What exactly is this move about? The market has many opinions. Some say it's a deep bullish conviction, betting on an epic rebound; others say it's the standard play of high-leverage gamblers—one mistake and mi

#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Look at the picture and tell a story, this time still the usual routine.
Last night’s market was very aggressive, with a 200-point drop happening suddenly. During the afternoon, the M-shaped pattern was right in front of us, and the 89,000 level needed to hold. As a result, in the evening, the price directly reversed and surged back up, so the current question is—how strong can the pullback be?
On the BTC side, short-term resistance is around 90,600. As long as it breaks through the 90,000 threshold, there’s a good chance to enter short positions. After the rebound reaches the

#大户持仓动态 Today's market movements have once again proven the point, and friends who didn't get on board in time truly regret it. For those who missed this wave, you're welcome to join our discussion group for an in-depth chat!
$BTC
$ETH
$LUNA
Recently, every move of the giant whales is worth paying attention to.