Here Is Why Bitcoin May Not Stay Below $80,000 for Long🔥

If you have been watching the charts lately, things have been awful for bitcoin.

The $1.7 billion in outflows we saw from crypto funds just last week. It was a heavy hit, and it actually flipped the year to date inflows into a net loss. This explains why it feels so bearish at the moment.

However, here is why 70k - $80k zone might be a very short time

- The Wall Street Discount: The average cost basis for all US Bitcoin ETFs combined is sitting right around $79,000. Right now, Bitcoin is trading below that. This means if you buy today, you’re getting a better deal than the average institutional entry price. Wall Street is effectively 10% down on their entry, which historically acts as a massive buy zone because big players hate selling for a loss.

- The Safety Floor : While things look promising for a relief rally, some analysts like alex , are keeping us grounded. He warns that if we don't see a liquidity boost, we could potentially see a drop toward the 200 week moving average, which is currently down near $58,000.

- The 2021 Parallel: Swissblock points out that the current setup where network growth and liquidity start recovering at the same time is a pattern we haven't seen since 2021, right before BTC went to new highs.
Bitcoin is having a rough start to February 2026, but the data shows we are in a high opportunity zone. Whether we are looking at the $80,000 psychological barrier or the $79k institutional floor, the "max pain" for the big funds usually spells max opportunity for the rest of us.

We might be just one or two weeks away from seeing these indicators flip back to green.

Crypto has a funny way of making people feel the most nervous right before things get interesting. Most traders get caught up in the noise, but the real moves usually happen when everyone else is busy looking for the exit.

Whether we are looking at that $79,000 institutional floor or the potential $58,000 worst case safety net, the reality is that the market is just flushing out the weak hands. At the end of the day, Bitcoin doesn't care about our feelings, it cares about liquidity and network growth. If you have been here long enough through a few cycles, you have been through this before .
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