YangDongxu'sCommentary

#BTC Last week, except for Friday, the other trends were basically in line with expectations, which can be checked. One is trust, and the other is responsibility. This market is never short of liquidity; there are positives and negatives, bright moments and "roller coasters." Bright moments are always fleeting; just one misstep can lead to total loss. The truly important thing is to be able to last long-term. The advantage of longevity lies in stability—avoiding impulsiveness, accumulating slowly, and eventually reaching the peak. #比特币突破7.9万美元

Currently, BSB is quite popular, and many enthusiasts are eager to jump in. Let's first take a look at the background. BSB belongs to RWA (Real World Asset) projects, focusing on "on-chain stocks" and liquidity infrastructure, with a narrative rooted in Wall Street. BSB has surged 78% in the past 24 hours. It is now consolidating, so is it still a good time to chase the high? Three key points:
1: Technical indicators are already seriously overbought
RSI has reached 79.98, in the typical "overheated" zone, and a pullback could happen at any time. The derivatives market shows open contracts ha

#BTC After establishing a position with an 800-point gain in the morning, it then retraced another 500 points midway, with the position near the highest point. Then continued to wait for a pullback to buy, with a slow decline in the afternoon, until stabilizing after 775, and currently around 776, it has bought again. Although missing the downward space, it was for safety rather than blindly rushing in. And this wave of decline was caused by geopolitical influences, but such impacts are already temporary, not ongoing, so the trend structure has not broken the upward channel, and buying is

“Brother Ma Ji” Huang Licheng is a legendary figure in this circle, and it’s been 9 years already. However, his early reputation wasn’t very good, because what he did—such as the “Mi Yin” involved in trading—was called a “big cut.” In the past few years, Ma Ji has begun to pivot, turning into a high-profile individual investor who is active in the NFT and derivatives trading space. Although he has been losing money in recent years, he has kept injecting funds, which shows just how much he used to “cut” back then. This is similar to the same kind of hype seen with knockoff coins that are trendi

Last week is already over, and this week is a brand-new beginning. Last Monday, Duotou led the charge first. After three consecutive bullish days, the market moved into a correction that continued all the way through Saturday. On Sunday, it tested the bottom support and the upper resistance, but neither side was broken. Aside from the idea that “on Friday, looking at an increase in volume, the move that followed was consolidation,” the rest of the trend is basically in line with expectations. Last week totaled 11,000 points. At the end of last week, I said that hesitation is meaningless—so a n

Yesterday was basically in line with expectations, with a slow oscillation after a dip in the morning, followed by another surge in the early hours, but it did not break 790. As mentioned yesterday, 769 is a support level; if it holds, it can go higher, while 790 is a resistance level. We can first observe slightly below 790, as in yesterday afternoon, the stance was once at 500 points, then a second time at 800 points in the early morning. So, find good support and resistance levels; it’s appropriate to buy near support and sell near resistance.
The weekly candle is about to close; currently,

Why do many people like to chase the highs and sell the lows? Actually, most of it is not a judgment error, but the anxiety and fear after missing out. When the original promising direction moves in the same trend, but because of missing the opportunity, it’s easy to become anxious, and this emotion often affects subsequent correct judgments, leading to blindness. Going long at strong resistance levels or short at strong support levels is wrong. It’s only acceptable to chase after a breakout, but once it doesn’t break, it’s easy to move in the opposite direction. Strong support and resistance

Duo Kong has reached the vicinity of the watershed, currently holding a 50/50 position. Recent factors are quite complex, on one hand due to geopolitical uncertainties, and on the other hand, the Bitcoin conference is approaching. Additionally, there are profit-taking levels above and institutional buying below. Therefore, Duo Kong's game has become highly intense, and generally, the smaller the consolidation range, the closer it is to a breakout. Pay attention to the support at 769 and resistance at 790; a break could lead to continuation. A slight pullback and it will be Duo. If it breaks be

Yesterday’s trading range was relatively small. The difference between the highest and lowest points was only a few hundred points, so without fundamental support over the weekend, the price action is more likely to be choppy and range-bound. However, this is Saturday—Sunday is different. The intraday volatility on Sunday is much larger than on Saturday, and can be about twice as much. Especially in the evening, Sunday night is prone to small unilateral continuation. So during the day, we can first look for consolidation, while in the evening we look for continuation.
From the daily candle

Last week totaled 20k points, with a trend that closely matched expectations. This week is only half of last week's, with over 10,000 points.
Week ①: In the morning, short positions initially led by direct trading at 1470 points, then bottomed out at 800 points, and again turned bullish with a 200-point rise. After breaking resistance, it turned bullish for 600 points, totaling 2,300 points. The follow-up looks to continue upward.
Week ②: First, a bullish move of 800 points, then a rebound followed by a continued bullish move of 950 points, totaling 1,700 points. The bullish trend was held thr

#BTC Next week’s focus: the Bitcoin Conference. Looking back at past conferences, the trend has always been weakness—within the circle, it’s known as the “Bitcoin Conference curse.” Over the past five years, during conference periods, there has almost been a “every time there’s a conference, it falls” pattern, forming a textbook-style decline. And in the weeks before that, it usually first rallies. Once the conference opens, it paradoxically becomes the starting point for taking profits. So this time—will the curse continue, or will it be broken?
① Continue the conference curse: right now, bo

#BTC The "roller coaster" during the peak of the 2021 clone craze
AXS used to be the leader on the Ark, but looking back, it was just a dream. 2021 was a year of wild clone frenzy, with AXS leading the charge. The once struggling mutt suddenly became the top of the Ark. After a long downhill journey, it returned to the lows, but it must be said that after all these years, AXS is still here, and those who experienced it must have many feelings. AXS can't go back, and the clone season can't return. Now, clones have become a ruthless scythe, cutting with one blow, so recently clone funds h

TRADOOR has once again been a scam, staging a dump show, rising from 0.65 to 10.3 in three months, and then dropping from 10.3 to 0.8 in just one day. Now, these scams either don't dump or dump all the way to the bottom, going back and forth, similar to lowering RAVE, STO, and others before. The difference is that RAVE was too fast, multiplying a hundredfold in just a week, also due to the hype explosion, which triggered too many followers, and 61k people vanished overnight. Then it was investigated. And TRADOOR is even stranger; the team has been out of contact since December 2025, the produc

The weekend is usually quiet, right? Last weekend there was some movement due to a fundamental impact, but on weekends without fundamental shocks, the moves are not only slow but also limited in scope. Only in the evening does the movement pick up a bit and the range becomes larger. During the day, you can spend time with your family and children; the real action starts at night. Staying in during the evening, if you want to make a move, don't hesitate. #加密市场行情震荡

Yesterday was still in a sideways consolidation; the movement up and down was only slightly more than 1 point, and neither side broke through. This kind of price action differs somewhat from expectations. Yesterday shifted to a **“diatou”** upside move on rising volume. At the lower area, there’s about 600 points of **“diatou”** to trim part of the position and then wait again, while if it returns directly to the starting posture, although there isn’t much room, this kind of very small space also won’t be a “trap”—it’s just a bit short. The sideways consolidation shows that **“diatou”**-relate

There was no significant position gained during the day, with 776 Dodo above and a large part reduced at 782, returning to a low position. Since the weekly④ has already moved into a range-bound correction, the intraday outlook is optimistic for a breakout upward, but it hasn't broken through yet, which deviates from expectations. However, this kind of movement is unlikely to be a trap, and there isn't much room to gain either. It can only be said that Dodo's game remains balanced, and the final outcome tonight is still undecided. Betting on a breakout to gain more space was a miscalculation.
O

The point has passed, and it's already Saturday, but there's still no movement, still volatile during the day, neither breaking above nor below the high or low. If there's no action by 4 a.m., then basically it won't move much anymore, unless there's a strong fundamental reason or a major breakthrough. It's somewhat disappointing compared to expectations; the expectation was for a breakout on one side. If it breaks upward, then chase Dodo; if it breaks downward, then chase Kong is fine. Currently, this oscillating structure, although not sharp, also doesn't leave room for movement. The volatil

The intraday movement is quite sluggish, and it’s still undergoing a slow grind. In the afternoon, 776 DOU was already signaling around 782 that it was time to reduce positions. Getting back to 779 now is still not an issue. On the four-hour and lower timeframes, the Bollinger band moving averages have already contracted to the extreme—so a breakdown is imminent. Continue waiting. We may see 788 nearby.

#BTC The 776 given in the afternoon directly jumped
Currently at 600 points
A conservative approach can reduce positions and wait
An aggressive approach can continue to watch around 778.
At the same time, a small portion can be sold at 778.
Watch for a breakout above the new high,
If it can break 795, then continue to jump,
Looking at the 805 to 815 range #加密市场行情震荡

#BTC The evening split decision, do or kong...
Bitcoin previously attempted to break 95 two days ago but failed, and after a slight pullback, it has been consolidating at high levels, with intense do-kong battles. On-chain data shows that Bitcoin on exchanges is at its lowest level in history, which means less available to sell, limited selling pressure, and buying interest more easily pushing prices higher. Meanwhile, 801 is the short-term moving average, and approaching it tends to increase selling pressure. Another point is that whales are not exiting, remaining suspiciously active.