LiusongIEatLemon

Views on the 25-Year Bull Run/Alt Season
In fact, since Ethereum broke through the 2820 resistance level on July 10, it has risen nearly a thousand points in this bull run, but I am not very happy; instead, I feel anxious and tormented. I will list a set of data: among the more than twenty long spot positions I currently have, one of the cryptocurrencies is TRU.
2.1-2.3
Ethereum: 3300-2100, tru: 0.0675-0.0353
2.23-4.9
Ethereum: 2840-1380, tru: 0.0558-0.0256
4.9-5.13
Ethereum: 1380-2740, tru: 0.0256-0.0518
5.14-6.22
Ethereum: 2740-2100, tru: 0.0518-0.0246
(Ethereum low point rising, altcoin low

#GT #GT #BTC #ETH gt
High level:
① The daily level has approached the trend line, after slightly breaking below it in the past few days, it has currently pulled back above the trend line.
The first MACD golden cross on the daily chart.
③ The Bollinger Bands are narrowing on the daily chart, indicating a potential change in trend.
Small level:
④ Hourly level breaks through resistance level 17

666, last night at midnight I saw that Ether's falling trend line didn't break and retraced to the bull flag's upper band for a rebound, so I slept peacefully. I haven't been sleeping much these days, and when I got up and looked, I was shocked at where it went. This morning, Ether shot down with a long wick candle directly to the bull flag channel's lower band and the previous 3620 support level. Fortunately, I checked, and my position is still intact. 😅
1️⃣Ether:
Ether is actually still oscillating within this range, and the decline is also within expectations. A few days ago, when posting

I stayed up all night last night, and this morning at six-thirty I couldn't take it anymore, so I set an alarm and went to sleep until eleven. Here's an update on the morning market content.
Morning of July 31
1️⃣Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
In the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision early this morning, keeping the interest rate unchanged was already within market expectations. I initially thought the Fed would lay the groundwork for a rate cut next time, but I didn't expect it to be so hawkish. Currently, there is significant internal conflict within the Fed, and it is very div

7.30 after-hours
Currently, some altcoins have already dropped below support levels, but Ethereum is forming a small converging triangle, with the lower bound at 3750. If the 30-minute/1-hour candlestick falls below 3750, I will close half of my long position.
‍#以太坊重返3800 #七月行情预测 #内容挖矿，赚丰厚返佣 #KOL星火计划破千 #Gate ETH十周年回馈

7.30 morning session
Ethereum has tested the 3750 level twice, and it is evident that the rebound during the night is weaker than the one in the morning. According to the indicators, the first death cross has formed on the daily MACD for Ethereum. Logically, Ethereum should be undergoing a daily-level correction, but it is currently still holding up at 3750 with a slow rise.
From a time perspective, it is indeed very easy to see a drop of hundreds of points in August in previous years; from the indicators, Ethereum's daily chart shows a death cross; from the news perspective, the expectation f

There are many altcoin structures similar to GALA, which have currently broken through the downtrend line and transitioned to the previous consolidation range at the bottom. Currently, Ether at 3750 corresponds to the bottom support level of the second to last consolidation range of these altcoins. This morning, when Ether had a long wick candle, I also set up two low leverage long orders in the spot market for altcoins. In the evening, if Ether revisits 3750 and holds, it could form a double bottom and see a rebound. If it doesn't hold, then I will exit the altcoins or reduce half of my posit

Today is Sunday, and I estimate that a market turning point will occur in the next two days. Let me add my thoughts on the after-hours.
7.27 after-hours
①Ether:
Ethereum successfully broke through 3750 today and is on track to test the previous high. As of this post, the previous high of 3857 was tested but failed to break through. The current highest point reached is 3840, forming a double top. However, Ethereum is still within the upward channel. We will continue to observe whether the previous high of 3860 can be broken and held. If it successfully breaks through, it will continue to rise t

I checked the market early this morning and slept for a while after 7 o'clock 🤣 Just got up to catch up on the updates.
7.27 afternoon trading
Today, I won't talk about structure, pressure support levels, and trends. I will upload the images for everyone to reference. If there are any improvements needed, feel free to raise them for discussion and learning together.
Today I mainly want to share my thoughts on the issue of false breakthroughs. I don't know if anyone else was popping champagne and feeling happy like I was yesterday afternoon 🤣 Yesterday afternoon, Ethereum had a strong bu

I overslept this morning 😂
Morning of July 26
1️⃣ Ethereum:
Ethereum failed to break through 3750 last night as expected and once again pulled back. The pullback touched the lower boundary of the previous consolidation range and then rebounded. This morning, it attempted to break through 3750 again. As of the time of posting, it appears to have failed to break through once more. Moving forward, it still needs to break and hold above 3750 to have a chance to challenge 3860 and new highs; otherwise, it will continue to pull back.
I have reorganized the structure of Ethereum; the previous one fe

Emergency‼️
7.25 Evening Session Supplement
Ether:
The Ethereum oscillation box's central axis line 3750 has failed to break through again, and a pullback is expected. The support level below remains the same as previously stated.
Bitcoin:
If Bitcoin breaks below 115,000, the next support level for buying is in the range of 112,900-113,500 (Fibonacci retracement level 0.618) and 110,000-110,800 (Fibonacci retracement level 0.718).
Supplement: Whether we are laying out spot or doing contracts, everyone should try to wait for the price to drop to near the support level before going long on spot.

Attention Attention ⚠️
Evening session on July 25
1️⃣Ether:
Ethereum found effective support at 8 AM this morning on the first downtrend line I drew and bounced back. However, at 10 AM, it retested and confirmed the failure of the first support. Nevertheless, it received effective support on the second downtrend line I drew and rebounded above the first downtrend line. In the afternoon, after multiple retests confirming that the first downtrend line showed false breaks, it is currently experiencing a rebound.
Currently, it is about to return to the central axis of the oscillating range. If it

The market manipulator really knows how to play, this game is quite annoying. Ether is rubbing back and forth above the falling trend line, while BTC is rubbing back and forth below the falling trend line. I plan to watch BTC at 115200; if it breaks below, I will only hold half a position and won't increase the position. If BTC stands above the falling trend line, I will add back my half position. This could be the starting point for BTC's rise, and if it starts rising from here, there is a chance to break the previous high. #Gate Launchpad IKA上线

7.25 morning session
1️⃣Ether:
Ethereum failed to break through the midline of the oscillation box around 3750 last night and pulled back. This morning, it indeed just happened to pull back to the downtrend line and then supported a rebound. Moving forward, we should continue to pay attention to whether it can break through the midline of the oscillation box and whether the support of the downtrend line is effective again. A breakthrough of the former will be bullish, while a break below the latter will lead to a correction towards the west; otherwise, it will oscillate directly between the do

Let's add some after-hours analysis tonight (usually if my thoughts for the evening session are still consistent with the morning session, I won't update unless there are special circumstances).
7.24 after-hours
1️⃣ Ether:
Ethereum has once again retraced to the support range of 3480-3520 in the afternoon, and just touched the lower boundary of the descending channel where a strong rebound occurred. A bullish engulfing pattern signal appeared on the 16th-20th four-hour candlestick chart, indicating a stop to the decline. The 20th-24th four-hour level candlestick retraced near the support level

Note⚠️
Ethereum: Ethereum has successfully received two effective supports near the support range of 3480-3520. However, Ethereum is currently in a descending channel, where the lower boundary of the descending channel has been successfully tested multiple times as support. Ethereum should still focus on the lower boundary of the range for oscillation. If it can stabilize above the lower boundary of the range, it also needs to pay attention to whether it can break through the downward trend line of the upper boundary of the descending channel. Only by breaking through can it continue to test t

7.24 morning session
Ether:
1️⃣ Last night it broke below the lower boundary of the range, and this morning at five o'clock it rebounded right around the 3520 support, but this time it didn't reach my support zone. (Generally, I prefer to use the ends of the shadows rather than the bodies as standards for drawing lines; the advantage is that the profit potential is larger and the proportion of loss after entry is smaller; the downside is that the margin for error is low, and it might just miss by a little.)
2️⃣ Currently, there is a pinbar stop-loss signal emerging within the hour, and it has